New Miami Condos – Closing Rates for September 2008

It’s been a little over two months since my last condo closing rate update.  The last one was published on July 8, 2008.

New Miami Condos Closing Rates

Below, you will find the date that each condo development began closings followed by the number of closed units in each condo development:

You’ll notice with this first batch that I dropped Star Lofts from the list.  I noticed a lot of double entries which made it difficult to gauge the true number of closed condos.  Additionally, Star Lofts on the Bay hasn’t shown much progress in a very long time.  Ten Museum Park closed 11 units since the last update while 50 Biscayne’s vast improvement reflects the bulk sale that took place.  The rest of the condo developments showed very little progress.

New Miami Condos Closing Rates

Plaza on Brickell once again showed the most improvement within this group.  Its closing rate jumped about 14 points since the July update revealing a total of 660 closed condos of the overall 1,000 in the two towers.  Apogee South Beach once again inched closer to hitting the 100 percent mark, with only 2 additional condos to close before reaching it.  Quantum on the Bay moves into second place in this group and has now closed around 75 percent of its condos.

New Miami Condos Closing Rates

The big story in this group is Midtown 4.  It jumped from a 19.10 percent closing rate to an 84.92 percent closing rate.  A large bulk sale of over 250 condos seems to have taken place to a buyer with a second party name of “D M MIDTOWN MIA OWNER LLC”.  The same buyer also closed on slightly over 50 condos at Midtown 2 on the same day.  Was this simply the developer transferring units to one of its other entities or was this an outside buyer with no association to the developer?  Marina Blue jumped about 10 points, settling at around 70 percent of its condos closed.  Wind and Asia showed nice improvements this update with Wind increasing around 17 points and Asia about 18 points.

New Miami Condos Closing Rates

These last four condo developments all showed good progress since the July update.  The biggest surprise to me was Ivy which closed 125 new condos since that time.  I would have guessed that 500 Brickell and Axis would each have more closed sales than Ivy.

Disclaimer: The above closing rate information was derived from public County records. There can be a 2-3 week delay from the time that a closing occurs and the time that the closing is recorded.

Miami Condo Index – Brickell – August 2008

Brickell skyline

It has been four months since the last installment of the Miami Condo Index for Brickell.  The last update for Brickell condos was provided in April 2008.   The data below was collected on August 18, 2008 from the MLS.  While crunching the numbers earlier today, it quickly became apparent that prices have continued to fall within the past four months and, in some cases, prices have fallen hard.

The Brickell Condo Index now stands at an average price per square foot of $441.84.  This represents a 7.71 percent drop in the average asking prices of the 18 condo developments that comprise the Brickell Condo Index over the past four months, or an annualized loss of 23.13 percent.  You’ll see in the graph towards the bottom of the post that about four condo developments have had significant reductions in their average asking prices within the past four months.

Average price per square foot of Brickell condos currently listed on the MLS:

Brickell Miami condo skyline

The average price of Brickell condos sold over the past six months has dropped 23.49 percent to $313.97 per square foot from April’s average of $410.38.  However, much of this drop is attributed to the fact that Four Seasons Residences, which sells at the highest price per square foot of the 18 condo developments comprising the Brickell Condo Index, has not had one closed sale in the MLS within the past six months and therefore was not included in this month’s average.  The average would have dropped around 14.37 percent had Four Seasons Residences been included using its April average.  That would still have represented an annualized drop in the average sales prices of about 43 percent!!!

Average price per square foot of Brickell condos sold in the MLS within the past six months:

  • Atlantis – 2025 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $241.89
  • Brickell on the River – 31 SE 5 St | 33131 | N/A
  • Bristol Tower – 2127 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $379.26
  • Emerald at Brickell – 218 SE 14 St | 33131 | $240.51
  • Four Seasons Residences – 1425 Brickell Ave | 33131 | N/A
  • Imperial at Brickell – 1627 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $316.83
  • Jade – 1331 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $447.72
  • Latitude on the River – 185 SW 7 St | 33130 | $323.74
  • Neo Vertika – 690 SW 1 Ct | 33130 | $264.58
  • One Miami – 325 & 335 S Biscayne Blvd | 33131 | $316.15
  • Santa Maria – 1643 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $625.05
  • Skyline on Brickell – 2101 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $296.45
  • Solaris at Brickell – 186 SE 12 Ter | 33131 | N/A
  • The Club at Brickell Bay – 1200 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $224.18
  • The Mark on Brickell – 1155 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $311.29
  • The Palace – 1541 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $240.85
  • Villa Regina – 1581 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $292.44
  • Vue at Brickell – 1250 S Miami Ave | 33131 | $188.62

Below you will find some additional statistics:

Brickell Condo Index August 2008

As in the past, the first column to the right of each condo development’s name is the difference in the average sales price and list price for this month, expressed as a percentage. An “N/A” is found next to Brickell on the River, Four Seasons Residences and Solaris at Brickell since this percentage could not be computed as each building failed to have a closed sale within the past six months through the MLS, and thus did not have an average price per square foot for condos sold.  A high percentage indicates that there is a large discrepancy between the average asking price for condos currently on the market and what has actually sold within the past six months.

The second column is the number of active listings in each condo development currently in the MLS. The third column shows the percentage that these listings represent over the total number of condo units in each development. The cells highlighted in green reveal those condo developments that have active listings that represent less than 10 percent of the the overall units in the building. To me, this is one indication of a sound condo development. Bristol Tower, Four Seasons Residences, Imperial at Brickell, Santa Maria, The Palace and Villa Regina are the condo buildings highlighted in green.  All, with the exception of Four Seasons Residences, were built prior to 2000 and none were targets for wild speculation during the last real estate boom.  The ones highlighted in red reveal those condo developments that have active listings that represent over 20 percent of the overall units in the building. There’s definitely underlying risk in buying in these condo developments and I’d only advise buying in one of these if the price justifies the risk. Jade, Solaris at Brickell and Vue at Brickell are the condo developments highlighted in red.  Each was built in 2004 or after and victimized by speculation and rampant mortgage fraud.  Prices in each have fallen like a ton of bricks within the past year.  The condo developments with active listings less than 10 percent are considered safe, in my opinion, and anything in the 10-15 percent range is considered normal, even in a healthy market.

The fourth column shows the number of pending sales while the fifth column displays the number of closed sales within the past six months. There are a total of 79 total pending sales in the 18 condo buildings represented in the Brickell Condo Index. In April, there were a total of 58 pending sales at the time. The Club at Brickell Bay, Vue at Brickell and Jade each have pending sales in the double digits. The same goes for closed sales within the past six months in each of these condo developments.  In April, there were a total of 64 closed sales within the past six months.  This figure has almost doubled since April with a total of 123 closed sales within the past six months. With 25 closed sales within the past six months and 25 pending sales in the pipeline at The Club at Brickell, I question myself whether some sort of stability is finally being reached.  Again, the 25 closed sales had an average price of around $224 per square foot.  If the answer to my questions is no, then where will the dust finally settle?  Of the three condo developments, The Club at Brickell Bay was the only one which has had a reduction in its active listings since April.  That, to me, is progress.  From November 2007 until April 2008, average sales prices at The Club at Brickell Bay fell about 46 percent.  Now since April, we have seen another large drop of about 39 percent in its average sales price.  By year’s end, can prices at The Club at Brickell Bay hit the $150 per square foot mark that many of the commentors on this blog have mentioned?  A 30 percent drop in sales prices will bring us very, very close to that oft-mentioned number.  A better question is, will the pundits of this blog revise their guidance downward if that figure does become an eventuality in a few condo developments in Brickell?

The sixth column shows the difference in the average list prices from this month’s and April’s, expressed as a percentage. Those highlighted in red reveal those condo developments which had a drop in their average list price while those highlighted in green show those that had an increase. Emerald at Brickell saw asking prices drop a little over 23 percent, Vue at Brickell slightly under 23 percent, Solaris at Brickell around 20 percent, The Club at Brickell Bay about 17.5 percent, Neo Vertika 11.4 percent and Jade 11.25 percent. Only Santa Maria and The Palace experienced average list prices actually rise.

The seventh column reveals the difference in average sales prices from this month’s and April’s, expressed as a percentage. Emerald at Brickell saw the largest drop with a 41.21 percent decline, although only one closed sale was found in the MLS within the past six months to calculate its new average. It has a difference of around 46 percent in its average sales and asking prices.  This is the largest pricing discrepancy amongst the 18 condo developments represented in the Brickell Condo Index.  This just shows me that asking prices at Emerald at Brickell still have a ways to come down before reaching its market clearing value.  The Club at Brickell Bay had its average sales price drop around 39 percent, Skyline on Brickell around 25.5 percent, The Palace about 25 percent and Villa Regina around 25 percent.  Only Latitude on the River and Santa Maria experienced an uptick in average sales prices since the last Brickell Condo Index update.

Brickell Miami condo skyline

This the first month where we saw average sales prices for a Brickell condo building fall below $200 per square foot.  Vue at Brickell is now sitting on an average sales price of around $189 per square foot, calculated from the 17 closed sales in the MLS that it has had within the past six months.  A look at the listings currently available at Vue at Brickell indicates that prices will continue to fall, as over 30 listings have an asking price below the $189 per square foot average.  In fact, four listings are currently asking less than $150 per square foot.  It goes without saying that Vue at Brickell will likely hit the $150 average sales mark before any of the other condo developments in the Brickell Condo Index.

Another insight I made while pondering the figures for this month’s Brickell Condo Index is that Santa Maria is alive and kicking.  It looks healthy despite the slow down in the real estate market.  Its average listing and sales prices have both gone up within the past four months.  It has also had 8 closed sales within the past six months.  That may not seem like a lot but, with only 174 total condos, Santa Maria is not a huge mega-building with 500-plus units like we often see nowadays.  It also has the most realistic asking prices.  The discrepancy in asking and sales prices is 15.81 percent, the lowest amongst the 18 condo developments.  Couple all that with the fact that the currently available listings at Santa Maria only represent around 8 percent of its possible inventory and I’m saying that it’s good to see that there’s still one stand-up condo development amongst the 18.

New Miami Condos – Closings Rates for July 2008

The last closing rate update was published on May 28, 2008.  I collected the data for this month’s update this past Sunday, July 6, 2008.  This month, I also included the number of closed units below each graph in parentheses.

New Miami Condos - Closing Rates July 2008

Below you will find the date that each condo development began closings followed by the number of closed units in each condo development:

Not much has changed with this first group of condo developments since the May update except with 50 Biscayne.  It went from having around a 67% closing rate to about a 75% closing rate since the last update.  However, I took a close look at the numbers and noticed that 26 of the 43 newly closed condos were deeded to TRG 50 Bisc Suites LLC.  All 26 units were suite units.  It appears as though The Related Group transferred these 26 units to another one of its own entities.  I’m not exactly sure though.  Even without these 26 units, 50 Biscayne would have had 17 newly closed units.  Onyx on the Bay had 5 newly closed units.

New Miami Condos - Closing Rates July 2008

Plaza on Brickell saw the most improvement in the group of condo developments above since the last update with a 13 point increase in closings.  It now shows that 52% of the overall 1,000 units have closed.  You’ll also find slight to moderate improvements in the other condo developments in this group.  According to public records, Apogee South Beach now only needs 6 more condo units to close in order to reach 100%.

New Miami Condos - Closing Rates July 2008

Marina Blue continued to show good improvement in this update with around a 14 point increase in closings.  Marina Blue now has nearly 60 percent of its condos closed.  Wind had an increase of around 11 points, Asia around 10 points and Avenue at Brickell slightly over 7 points.

New Miami Condos - Closing Rates July 2008

Above is the newest batch of condo developments that recently began closings.  I must say that I’m pretty impressed with 900 Biscayne Bay having 79 closed units within the past 2 months.  It probably actually has 100 or more closed units by now since there can be a 2-3 week delay in the time that a condo closes and the time that the deed is recorded.  It’s still too early to judge the other three condo developments in this group.  The next update should shed a little more light.  I did have a chance to tour Axis today for the first time.  I’ll try to share some pictures with everyone towards the end of the week.  By the way, I wasn’t able to find Met 1 which is why it wasn’t included in this update.

Disclaimer: The above closing rate information was derived from public County records. There can be a 2-3 week delay from the time that a closing occurs and the time that the closing is recorded.

New Miami Condos – Closing Rates for May 2008

It’s been almost 2 months since my last post regarding the closing rates of various Miami condo developments. That post was published on April 4, 2008. Referring back to that post and comparing it to the figures in the graph below, you may quickly realize that I must have made a mistake last month when pulling the data for Loft Downtown 2. I’m not sure how that happened. I double and tripled checked the figures this month, however, for all of the condo developments.

Miami Condo Closings - May 2008

Below you will find the date that each condo development began closings:

Even with the overstatement of closed units corrected, Loft Downtown 2 still has the best closing rate of any condo development located in Miami included in this post, and the second best overall. Loft Downtown 2 isn’t as close to hitting the 100 percent mark as I had previously thought, but it’s doing comparatively quite well. The overall closing rate at 50 Biscayne increased slightly over 6 points while the rest, in the group above, increased 2.52 points or less, since the last update.

As over half of this group approaches the one year mark since their closings began, a few interesting questions come to mind. What is happening to the defaulted condos? Are developer’s leasing them and holding until the market gets better or are they hoping for onesy and twosy buyers to come along to slowly deplete their inventory? Are any of these developers feeling the pain yet? I’ve heard that at least one of these condo developers has been for a few months. If that’s true, then when, if ever, are we going to see some bulk sales?

Miami Condo Closings - May 2008

I’m sure glad he’s proving me wrong. Those were my first thoughts when looking at the chart above. My second thoughts are that Apogee South Beach has continued to make great strides in closing its condos. Apogee has improved almost 15 points since my last update. Quantum on the Bay and 1800 Club, the only other two condo developments in the group above the 50 percent mark, each continued to show nice progress as well.

Miami Condo Closings - May 2008

Below you will find the date that each condo development began closings:

Marina Blue is off to a very good start. Pretty impressive from a condo development that started closings so late in the game. Asia is doing relatively well given that it had its first closing less than two months ago. However, Asia has only 123 total units. I’m expecting that we’ll some good progress in Asia’s closing rate next month. I guess we’ll have to wait for the next update, however, to find out.

Disclaimer: The above closing rate information was derived from public County records. There can be a 2-3 week delay from the time that a closing occurs and the time that the closing is recorded.

Brickell Condo Index – April 2008

Brickell Condos

The Brickell Condo Index is back! I was shocked to see that it’s been six months since I last provided an update to what used to be a monthly report. Those who’ve been around long enough to remember those updates would probably agree, however, that very little change in the market was seen on a month-to-month basis. In this report, you’ll definitely see that prices in some Brickell condo buildings have changed quite a bit within the past six months. Ideally, from this point forward, I’d like to provide a Brickell Condo Index update every three months.

Most of the following data was collected last week on April 22, 2008. The pending sales information towards the bottom of the post was collected today.

I finally decided to include Latitude on the River in the Brickell Condo Index. In November, the average price per square foot of available condos in the Brickell Condo Index listed in the MLS was $512.14. Six months later, asking prices have dropped 6.52 percent to an average of $478.76 per square foot. The drop would have been 5.64 percent had Latitude on the River not been added to the index. A few of the following condo buildings, however, have had huge reductions in their average asking prices. I’ll discuss these in more detail towards the end of the post.

Average price per square foot of units currently listed on the MLS:

Brickell Condo Buildings

The average price of Brickell condos sold over the past six months has dropped 13.20 percent to $410.38 per square foot from November’s average of $472.80. The drop would have been 11.75 percent had Latitude on the River not been included in this month’s update.

Average price per square foot of condos sold in the MLS within the past six months:

  • Atlantis – 2025 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $249.28
  • Brickell on the River – 31 SE 5 St | 33131 | N/A
  • Bristol Tower – 2127 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $442.37
  • Emerald at Brickell – 218 SE 14 St | 33131 | $409.11
  • Four Seasons Residences – 1425 Brickell Ave | 33131 | $913.08
  • Imperial at Brickell – 1627 Brickell Ave | 33129 | N/A
  • Jade – 1331 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $544.02
  • Latitude on the River – 185 SW 7 St | 33130 | $314.35
  • Neo Vertika – 690 SW 1 Ct | 33130 | $322.13
  • One Miami – 325 & 335 S Biscayne Blvd | 33131 | $324.77
  • Santa Maria – 1643 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $595.43
  • Skyline on Brickell – 2101 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $397.72
  • Solaris at Brickell – 186 SE 12 Ter | 33131 | N/A
  • The Club at Brickell Bay – 1200 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $367.44
  • The Mark on Brickell – 1155 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $386.25
  • The Palace – 1541 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $320.09
  • Villa Regina – 1581 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $356.79
  • Vue at Brickell – 1250 S Miami Ave | 33131 | $212.82

Below you will find some additional statistics:

Brickell Condo Index - April 2008

As in the past, the first column to the right of each condo development’s name is the difference in the average sales price and list price for this month, expressed as a percentage. An “N/A” is found next to Brickell on the River, Imperial at Brickell and Solaris at Brickell since this percentage could not be computed as each building failed to have a closed sale within the past six months through the MLS, and thus did not have an average price per square foot for condos sold.

The second column is the number of active listings in each development currently in the MLS. The third column shows the percentage that these listings represent over the total number of condo units in each development. The cells highlighted in green reveal those condo developments that have active listings that represent less than 10 percent of the the overall units in the building. In my opinion, this often demonstrates a sound condo building. The ones highlighted in red reveal those condo developments that have active listings that represent over 20 percent of the overall units in the building. There’s definitely underlying risk in buying condos in these buildings and I’d only advise buying within one of these condo buildings if the price justified the risk. The condo developments with active listings less than 10 percent are considered very safe, in my opinion, and anything in the 10-15 percent range is considered normal, even in a healthy market.

The fourth column shows the number of pending sales while the fifth column displays the number of closed sales within the past six months. There are a total of 58 total pending sales in the 18 condo buildings now represented in the Brickell Condo Index. In November, there were a total of 49 pending sales at the time. I was quite surprised by the large number of pending sales at The Club at Brickell Bay, Jade and Solaris at Brickell. It looks like buyers are finally starting to step in and place some of the condo foreclosures in these buildings under contract.

The sixth column show you the difference in the average list prices from this month’s and November’s, expressed a percentage. Those highlighted in red reveal those condo developments which had a drop in their average list price while those highlighted in green show those that had an increase. Vue at Brickell saw asking prices drop about 25 percent, The Club at Brickell Bay around 19 percent, Jade around 16 percent and Solaris at Brickell around 11.5 percent. The seventh column reveals the difference in average sales prices from this month’s and November’s, expressed as a percentage. The condo buildings hardest hit with mortgage fraud saw prices drop in half, in a few cases, as the fraud has ceased and the supply of foreclosures has grown. The average price per square foot for condos sold at Vue at Brickell within the past six months has dropped almost 48 percent. A few apparent fraudulent transactions included in the November average have fallen off. The Club at Brickell Bay’s average dropped a little over 46 percent, Solar at Brickell’s dropped about 33 percent and Jade fell around 25 percent. Even One Miami took a big hit with a drop of around 23.5 percent.

Brickell Condo Buildings

New Miami Condos – Closing Rates for April 2008

It has been a while since my last post regarding the closing rate of various Miami condo developments. The last update was provided on February 20, 2008. As with the February post, the first graph below reveals the closing rate of those Miami condo developments that began closings prior to November 1, 2007. The condo developments are ordered, from left to right, according to when closings began.

Miami Condo Closing Rates

Below you will find the date that each condo development began closings:

I’m quite impressed with the closing rate of Loft 2. Their closing rate has improved roughly 13.5 percentage points since the last update and is within 6 percentage points of reaching the 100 percent mark. Great job!

The rest of the condo developments in this group have not changed much since the February update. The closing rate of 50 Biscayne has improved about 6 percent while the closing rate of Onyx on the Bay has improved a little more than 4 percent. The rest of the condo developments have improved 1.5 percent or less. You may notice that the closing rate of Star Lofts on the Bay has actually gone down since the February update. Well, obviously, two closings weren’t rescinded. I discovered two deeds that were re-recorded. I hadn’t caught these in the February post. No additional units have closed at Star Lofts on the Bay since November 8, 2007.

The following graph shows the closing rate of various condo developments in Miami that began closings after November 1, 2007.

Miami Condo Closing Rates

Below you will find the date that each condo development began closings:

For the most part, a lot has changed with this group since the February closing rate update. Of this group of condo developments, I must say that Apogee South Beach has done a remarkable job! Apogee was the second to last condo development in this group to begin closings, yet it has far surpassed the success of the others. The high closing rate of condos at Apogee proves once again that the ultra-luxury condo market in Miami Beach is still doing quite well.

The 1800 Club has pushed well through the 50 percent mark and has improved roughly 16 points. Quantum on the Bay is hovering right at 50 percent which is good considering that they received the TCO on the second tower around the beginning of March. I can definitely see it hitting the 75 percent mark within the next two months. I also want to note that Plaza on Brickell and 1060 Brickell are both comprised of two towers. I’ve heard that closings for condos in the 851 tower of Plaza on Brickell recently began. The condo units in the 851 tower represent 60 percent of the overall development. I also know a few people who have contracts on condos in the 901 tower who are still waiting to receive a closing date. I’m not sure if only one or both of the towers at 1060 Brickell have begun closings yet.

Next month, I plan to include Marina Blue, Wind and Midtown 4, which each began closings recently.

Disclaimer: The above closing rate information was derived from public County records. There can be a 2-3 week delay from the time that a closing occurs and the time that the closing is recorded.

New Miami Condos – Closing Rates for February 2008

This month, I decided to make two separate graphs to show the percentage of total units that each development has closed since closings began. The first graph, found immediately below, reveals the closing rates for Miami condos which had their first closing prior to November 1 2007. The condo developments are also now ordered according to when closings began, with the first to the left.

New Miami Condo Closing Rates - February 2008

Below you will find the date that each condo development in the graph above began closings:

Not much has changed with this group of condos since the last update was provided in January. Ten Museum Park and Latitude on the River inched up about 2-3 percentage points. Star Lofts on the Bay remained the exact same and Onyx on the Bay was able to close one additional condo. The Loft Downtown 2 moved up a little over 5 percentage points and 50 Biscayne moved up almost 7 percentage points. A few different sources have told me that there have been about 200 defaulted condos at 50 Biscayne. This is in line with the 239 condos that are currently unaccounted for according to public records. Several people have left comments here stating that the developer has chosen to lease many of the defaulted condos and ride out the storm rather than sell to a bulk buyer. I’m sure other developers will follow suit, which will decrease the expected inventory levels for a few years.

New Miami Condo Closing Rates - February 2008

Below you will find the date that each condo development in the graph above began closings:

The graph above includes a group of condos which began closings within the past three months. I was surprised to see that 1800 Club has fared the best, although it should be noted that it did begin closings first amongst this group. Brickell on the River 2 has made much progress since the end of January when closed condos represented about 4 1/2 percent. Quantum on the Bay has done well considering that it has only received a TCO on the first of its two towers. Driving by a few times within the last couple of weeks, I did notice more lights on at night than one would expect from a condo development that just started closings about a month and a half ago. Same goes with 1800 Club. With a closing rate of about 20 percent, Apogee South Beach is off to a good start. Prices there start at about $2.5M. Plaza on Brickell has also only received a TCO on the first of its two towers. We should see much improvement from most of the condo buildings in the above group within the next month or two.

You may have noticed that One Bal Harbour and Midtown 2 are not found in this month’s update. I chose not to include One Bal Harbour because the Regent condo-hotel units have now begun closings and I did not want to intermingle the two. I do know, however, that WCI Communities has been quite successful in closing units at One Bal Harbour. They’ve closed around 150-155 condos out of a total of 185. I also know that several have been reassigned and are currently under contract. I expect WCI to have only a couple developer units left at One Bal Harbour by the end of March.

I didn’t include 2 Midtown because I noticed that a bunch of deeds have been re-recorded there. It would have taken me forever to sort through that mess. The following was written along the left-hand side of the re-recorded deeds: “This deed is being re-recorded to correct vesting on title”.

Disclaimer: The above closing rate information was derived from public County records. There can be a 2-3 week delay from the time that a closing occurs and the time that the closing gets recorded.

New Miami Condos – Closings Rates for January 2008

The chart below will show you the percentage of total units that each development has closed since closings began. Click on the following links to view the updates in November and December:

New Miami Condos - Closings Rates January 2008

Below you will find the date that each development began closings:

Before anybody says it, I realize that One Bal Harbour is not a “Miami Condo”. I didn’t want to change the title of the post just to reflect the fact that One Bal Harbour is located in Bal Harbour. I also didn’t want to exclude it from the list because there is much interest in One Bal Harbour, and besides, One Bal Harbour owners would criticize me for not providing an update when the closing rate has jumped since the last update.

The closing rate at One Bal Harbour has hit the 70 percent mark. This is a significant increase since last month’s update. The stock price of WCI surged about 15 percent in the regular session on Wall Street and another 19 percent in after-hours trading on Wednesday after it reported that it has successfully been able to amend its credit and loan agreements. The news story was not publicly disclosed until after the bell. There are currently 55 condo units that have not closed, according to public records. The news reveals that WCI now has a considerable amount of time to sell these last remaining condos.

Ten Museum Park has had about a 7 percent increase in its closing rate while 50 Biscayne has had about an 18 percent increase, since the December update. With the exception of One Bal Harbour, Ten Museum Park and 50 Biscayne, none of the other developments have had an increase of over 5 percent. The two new entries to this month’s update are Loft Downtown 2 and Quantum on the Bay. Loft Downtown 2 should have been included in the November update since closings began in September but it simply slipped my mind. Sporting a 74 percent closing rate, however, makes Loft Downtown 2 appear quite successful in comparison to the other Miami condos. The Grand Opening Party for Loft Downtown 2 is scheduled for Thursday evening.

Closings at Quantum on the Bay began earlier this month and as I’ve stated many times before, closings can take up to 2-3 weeks before they are recorded with the county (however, I have heard that as of January 1, 2008, this is no longer the case. A reliable source told me that a step that sometimes delays the process is no longer required. Closings should now be recorded within 1-2 days after the condo has closed. Can a title agent elaborate on this for me?). Don’t take too much away from the low closing rate at Quantum on the Bay. I mainly included it to act as a stepping stone for next month’s update and let everyone know that it is now on my radar.

Update: New Condo Construction Closing Rates

New Construction Closing Rates

The chart above will show you the percentage of total units that each development has closed since closings began.

One Bal Harbour is the newest edition to this monthly update. Closings began November 16, 2007. The percentage of closings may seem very low but keep in mind that it can take up to three weeks for closings to be recorded. However, it normally takes about five days for closings to be recorded. I know for a fact that several extensions have been granted at One Bal Harbour. I have a client who is planning to close on his unit this upcoming week. He will then sell it for a sizable loss to a replacement buyer who contacted me a few weeks ago in a simultaneous closing. I can tell you that WCI has delivered a fantastic product. An investment group that I met with today told me, after seeing a large variety of condo developments throughout South Florida, that One Bal Harbour was by far their favorite. I viewed a $5.7M condo there this past week that was simply amazing!

If you compare last month’s graph to this month’s you will see that there hasn’t been much of a change. Latitude on the River went up about 2%, Star Lofts on the Bay has remained unchanged (they’re in trouble), Onyx on the Bay has gone up about 3.5%, Ten Museum Park has gone up 7.5%, 2 Midtown has gone up about 4.5% and 50 Biscayne has gone up about 6.5%.

I’m actually quite shocked that more closing haven’t occurred since last month’s numbers were released. I realize that the market is slow but I would have thought that 1 or 2 other condo developments would have hit the 70% mark. I especially thought that 50 Biscayne would have had an increase of at least 10%. These figures, when compared to last month’s, are quite an eye opener.

New Condo Construction Closing Rates

New Construction Closing Rates

The chart above will show you the percentage of total units that each development has closed since closings began. They are in no particular order.

Below, you will find the date that the first closing in each development occurred:

Latitude on the River – July 27, 2007

Star Lofts on the Bay – June 20, 2007

Onyx on the Bay – July 31, 2007

Ten Museum Park – June 14, 2007

Midtown 2 – April 30, 2007

50 Biscayne – October 1, 2007

Star Lofts on the Bay and Onyx on the Bay haven’t had any new closings in quite some time. I think they are pretty much done. Midtown 2 has maybe one or two new closings every couple of weeks. Might as well put a fork in them as well.

Latitude on the River has done comparatively well but it seems as if closings have plateaued. I think it will be difficult for them to reach the 80 percent mark within the next couple of months unless a bulk buyer steps in to buy the defaulted condos.

Ten Museum Park has been struggling but I know that an individual has stepped in to buy over ten units there within the past couple of weeks and is still looking to buy more. Only about half of these closings have been recorded. Rumor has it that a separate bulk buyer has a strong interest in buying the remaining units that come back to the developer of Ten Museum Park after all closings have been completed. I think by January we’ll see the percentage of closings at Ten Museum Park top 90 percent.

50 Biscayne began closings on October 1, 2007 and is doing quite well. Most closings get recorded within the first week but there can be a two to three week delay so some condos that have closed within the past two weeks may not be reflected in the numbers above. It will be interesting to see how high the percentage of closings at 50 Biscayne rises by the end of the year.