Vue at Brickell – Are Prices Finally Bottoming?
On May 24, 2007, I wrote a blog post entitled “Vue at Brickell – Overpriced or Insanely Overpriced?“. At the time, the average list price of condos available at Vue at Brickell was over $550 per square foot. As many of you now know, and as the blog post explains, the inflated list prices were a direct result of the rampant mortgage fraud that occurred in the building. Since that time, as more and more people became aware of the situation and as a large number of foreclosures in the building hit the market, prices at Vue at Brickell have come down like a ton of bricks.
There are now indications, however, that prices at Vue at Brickell may be close to reaching the bottom. Buyers are finally stepping in. Since the last week of January, there have been 7 condos at Vue at Brickell that went pending. With list prices of $190,000-$199,900 for 1 bedroom condos and $220,000-$249,900 for 2 bedroom condos, it makes sense that buyers are now beginning to accept the risks associated with buying a condo in a building that has a high number of foreclosures. It will be interesting to see the sales prices of these condos at Vue at Brickell once they close. It’ll give us a better indication as to the level of motivation of some of these banks.
Below you’ll find the best deals at Vue at Brickell:
- 1 Bedrooms
- Unit 2111 – short-sale – $162,500
- Unit 1710 – short-sale – $162,500
- Unit 1211 – short-sale – $162,500
- Unit 1413 – short-sale – $162,500
- Unit 2307 – foreclosure – $205,000
- 2 Bedrooms
- Unit 1303 – short-sale – $229,900
- Unit 1505 – short-sale – $250,000
- Unit 1304 – short-sale – $279,900
- 3 Bedrooms
- Unit 3006 – short-sale – $357,000
- Unit 3606 – foreclosure – $379,900
The mortgages of three of the four short-sale one bedroom units listed for $162,500 are held with the same lender. This may be an opportunity for an investor to grab all three for a bargain-basement price. There are currently only 8 condos available for rent at Vue at Brickell. Within the past 12 months, the lowest that a one bedroom has ever rented was $1,300 per month. The lowest that a 2 bedroom rented was $1,550 while 3 bedrooms condos bottomed at $2,500 per month.
Miami Condos in Brickell – Red Hot Foreclosure and Short-Sale Condo Deals!
Before anyone takes me seriously, let me first just say that the headline above was meant to be a joke. Once you see the “hot” short-sale and foreclosure deals in the Brickell condo buildings below, you’ll know what I mean. Goes to show that just because a condo is listed as a short-sale or foreclosure doesn’t mean that it is priced well.
The Club at Brickell Bay
- Unit 1409 – 2 bedroom/2 bath – $800,000
- Unit 2709 – 2 bedroom/2 bath – $759,000
- Unit 3318 – 1 bedroom/1.5 bath – $665,000
- Unit 2305 – 1 bedroom/1 bath – $630,000
- Unit 4017 – 1 bedroom/1 bath – $595,000
- Unit 3919 – 1 bedroom/1 bath – $559,000
- Unit 2823 – 2 bedroom/2 bath – $549,000
- Unit 2309 – 2 bedroom/2 bath – $545,900
- Unit 2304 – 1 bedroom/1 bath – $500,000
Vue at Brickell
- Unit 1903 – 2 bedroom/2 bath – $790,000
- Unit 1004 – 2 bedroom/2 bath – $570,000
- Unit 1209 – 1 bedroom/1 bath – $490,475
I’m not sure why listings like the ones above even make it into the MLS. It’s a complete waste of time in my eyes.
The $400K Price Point for 2 Bedroom Condos Has Been Breached
Only 12 months ago, finding a 2 bedroom in a desirable condo development throughout Brickell and Brickell Key for less than $500,000 seemed like quite a bargain. How times have changed! Nowadays, the new figure seems to be $400,000.
Neo Vertika currently has 11 two bedroom condos that are priced for under $400,000, Isola has 2, Courvoisier Courts has 3, One Miami has 7, Solaris at Brickell has 1, The Club at Brickell Bay (surprisingly only) has 2, The Mark on Brickell has 3 and Vue at Brickell has 11 (with 2 of the 11 two bedroom condos priced for under $300,000).
With the additional inventory, from the soon-to-be completed condo developments, I think the $400,000 price point for 2 bedroom condos in desirable condo buildings throughout Brickell and Brickell Key will become more commonplace in 2008.
Of course, the size and square footage of the condos needs to be taken into consideration. Most of these new condo developments are delivering 2 bedrooms that have 1,145-1,300 square feet. Anything larger will, of course, fetch higher prices. It should go without saying that 2 bedroom units at ultra-luxury condo buildings such as Jade, Four Seasons and Santa Maria are exempt from this discussion.
I’m actually looking forward to the opening of Plaza on Brickell in January. In my opinion, it offers the best value in Brickell. I think within 3-4 months after it opens we’ll see aggressively priced 2 bedroom condos throughout Brickell approach the $350,000 mark.
I was at the Plaza on Brickell sales office last week with out-of-the-country clients and we were both shocked by the prices that were offered. The prices had come down considerably since September, when they last visited the sales center with me. One bedroom units now start at around $210,000 and two bedroom condos start at around $340,000. Investors have become more motivated to sell as their closing date approaches.
A few days after I visited the sales center with my clients they told me that “at these prices we would regret not making an offer”. They are looking to hold for about 10 years. Where else in Brickell can you get such prices, much less in a brand new development? I think Plaza on Brickell will act as the buoy for the Brickell condo market.
This is why many investment groups have their eyes set on Plaza on Brickell. They all want to buy units in bulk at a deep discount to get positive cash flow. However, I don’t think that this will happen at this development. I think prices offered, at the present time, are appealing enough to end-users. They, too, have their eyes on the Miami condo market because it is in their own backyard.
I know from reading your comments lately that you all are very opinionated. So I ask you, where do you think 2 bedroom units will ultimately be priced? More specifically, where do you think the top 10% best priced two bedroom condos in the well known Brickell developments will be priced by the end of 2008?
Brickell Condo Index – November 2007
The following data was collected on November 18, 2007. It took me a while to get everything up due to the holiday and work. I made a correction to October’s data. The average price per square foot of closed sales over the previous six months at Vue at Brickell was previously stated at $364.32. The correct figure should have been $469.93. The correction has been made and the overall average for closed sales in Brickell was adjusted to $481.69 instead of $475.16.
The average price per square foot of condos listed has once again dropped this month to $512.14 from last month’s figure of $518.91. The weight-adjusted average also dropped to $509.24 per square foot from last month’s figure of $521.29.
Average price per square foot of units currently listed on the MLS:
Someone recently commented that the average price per square foot of closed sales statistic doesn’t provide much insight due to the lack of activity in the Miami real estate market. This is quite true. List prices need to come down more in order for buyers to be enticed into buying. The condos that have been selling lately are the ones that are aggressively priced. Once each building has at least 5 or more closed sales then the average will begin to show more insight. Below you will see the total number of closings within the past six months in each condo development:
As you can see all of the buildings except One Miami and Neo Vertika have 4 or less closings. The lack of closed sales doesn’t make for an informative average. Nonetheless, I will continue to provide this statistic in hopes that the peak-season months will bring in more closed sales. I have definitely seen more interest within the past couple of weeks. The average price of condos sold over the past six months has gone down to $472.80 from last month’s figure of $481.69. Emerald at Brickell hasn’t had any closed sales within the past six months. The drop would have been less if the average for Emerald at Brickell would have remained the same at $523.78. If that were the case then the average price of condos sold over the past six months in Brickell would have been $475.80.
Average price per square foot of condos sold in the MLS within the past six months:
- Atlantis – 2025 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $283.10
- Brickell on the River – 31 SE 5 St | 33131 | $400.00
- Bristol Tower – 2127 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $425.96
- Emerald at Brickell – 218 SE 14 St | 33131 | N/A
- Four Seasons Residences – 1425 Brickell Ave | 33131 | $680.57
- Imperial at Brickell – 1627 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $331.99
- Jade – 1331 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $723.60
- Neo Vertika – 690 SW 1 Ct | 33130 | $332.27
- One Miami – 325 & 335 S Biscayne Blvd | 33131 | $424.36
- Santa Maria – 1643 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $682.23
- Skyline on Brickell – 2101 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $391.91
- Solaris at Brickell – 186 SE 12 Ter | 33131 | $422.66
- The Club at Brickell Bay – 1200 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $684.44
- The Mark on Brickell – 1155 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $575.90
- The Palace – 1541 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $395.54
- Villa Regina – 1581 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $403.39
- Vue at Brickell – 1250 S Miami Ave | 33131 | $406.92
Below you will find some additional statistics:
As with last month, the first column to the right of each condo development’s name is the difference in the average sales price and list price for this month, expressed as a percentage. The Club at Brickell Bay, The Mark on Brickell and The Palace are the only developments that have a higher average sales price than list price. The former two have questionable closed sales included in the six month average.
The second column is the number of active listings in each development currently in the MLS. The third column shows the percentage that these listings represent over the total number of condo units in each development. The cells highlighted in green reveal those developments that have active listings that represent less than 10 percent of the the overall units in the building. I find this to be a healthy number. The ones highlighted in red reveal those developments that have active listings that represent over 20 percent of the overall units in the building. I would stay away from these condo developments and others that approach the 20 percent mark. The condo developments with active listings less than 10 percent are considered very safe, in my opinion, and anything in the 10-15 percent range is considered normal, even in a healthy market.
The fourth column shows the number of pending sales while the fifth column displays the number of closed sales within the past month. The number of pending sales has dropped this month to 49 from last month’s figure of 51. The number of closed sales within the past month has remained the same at 7, which is still the lowest that I’ve seen in Brickell within one month since I’ve been tracking this statistic.
The sixth column show you the difference in the average list prices from this month’s and last month’s, expressed a percentage. Those highlighted in red reveal those condo developments which had a drop in their average list price while those highlighted in green show those that had an increase. As you can see, listings at Solaris at Brickell had an increase of 7.47 percent within the past month. Much of this increase is attributed to a new listing that is listed at $904 per square foot! What are they thinking? What I find to be particularly funny is that it says “Owner Hardly Motivated” in the broker remarks. Why even list it then? It is a one bedroom with 730 square feet listed for $660,000. I’m going to keep my eye on this one because I wouldn’t be surprised to see it under contract by the wrong type of buyer.
The seventh column reveals the difference in average sales prices from this month’s and last month’s, expressed as a percentage. The 15.49 percent price decrease at Skyline on Brickell is mainly attributed to a closed sale at a high price per square foot that dropped off the average. The large 27.41 percent price increase at Villa Regina is legitimate. There have been two closed sales in the building within the past month and one of them was a 3,060 square foot 3 bedroom/3.5 bath condo with a direct bay view that sold for $1,480,000, or $484 per square foot.
I think next month we’ll see more activity. I did notice that Jade had 2 closed sales on November 20, 2007. Those transactions will appear on next month’s Brickell Condo Index.
Yet Another Auction
I wanted to make everyone aware of another auction that will be held December 15, 2007 at the Miami Beach Convention Center in South Beach. I’ve perused the list of condos to be auctioned and it looks like there are some quality condos on the list. Below you will find some of the condos that will be auctioned:
- Courvoisier Courts – Unit 2312 – 3/2.5 – 1,655 SF (Brickell Key)
- Isola Brickell Key – Unit ??? – ??? – ??? SF (Brickell Key)
- Jade at Brickell – Unit 502 – 2/2 – 1,460 SF (Brickell)
- Jade – Unit ???? – ??? – ???? SF (Brickell)
- Murano Grande – Unit 805 – 2/2 – 1,400 SF (South Beach)
- Neo Lofts – Unit 1006 – 2/2 – 1,109 SF (Miami River)
- Ocean View – Unit 210 – 1/1 – ??? SF (Sunny Isles Beach)
- Ocean View – Unit ??? – ??? – 1,225 SF (Sunny Isles Beach)
- Royal Atlantic – Unit 209 – 1/1 – 654 SF (South Beach)
- The Club at Brickell Bay – Unit 2114 – 1/1 – 818 SF (Brickell)
- The Club at Brickell Bay – Unit 2603 – 1/1 – 825 SF (Brickell)
- The Club at Brickell Bay – Unit 3102 – 3/2 – 1,232 SF (Brickell)
- The Club at Brickell Bay – Unit 3202 – 3/2 – 1,232 SF (Brickell)
- The Cosmopolitan – Unit 2603 – 2/2 – 1,010 SF (South Beach)
- Vue at Brickell – Unit ??? – ??? – ??? SF (Brickell)
- Vue at Brickell – Unit 3606 – 3/2 – 1,551 SF (Brickell)
Contact me if you’d like more information about this auction so I can register you. There’s a 5 percent buyer’s premium and a $5,000 cashier’s check is required the day of the auction. The balance of 5 percent of the total price will be due the day of the auction if you are the highest bidder. Inspections must be conducted prior to bidding.
Hudson & Marshall Auction Results
Below you will find the results for the condos of interest that were auctioned this past Saturday:
- Cite on the Bay – Unit #110 – 3 bedroom/2 bath – 1,475 SF – $300,000
- Four Ambassadors – Unit #344 – 1 bedroom/1.5 bath – 940 SF – $169,500
- Loft Downtown – Unit #204 – 1 bedroom/1 bath – 784 SF – $128,500
- The Club at Brickell Bay – Unit #1823 – 2 bedroom/2 bath – 1,105 SF – $392,500
- Vue at Brickell – Unit #1215 – 2 bedroom/2 bath – 1,116 SF – $340,000
- Vue at Brickell – Unit #2307 – 1 bedroom/1.5 bath – 814 SF – $222,000
There were a large amount of people in attendance at the Hudson & Marshall auction on Saturday. There also seemed to be a higher percentage of active bidders in the crowd than I have seen at past auctions. Regardless, the first 20-30 properties that were auctioned all failed to crack the $100,000 mark. A condo in Homestead was auctioned for $56,000, which was the lowest that I saw a property go. This auction had a 5 percent buyer’s premium.
Slowly, throughout the rest of the day, properties began to garner higher and higher prices. With the exception of the 3 bedroom at Cite on the Bay and the one bedroom at Vue at Brickell, I was expecting the condos to go for less. I think the three bedroom at Cite on the Bay for $300,000 was the only great deal of the six condos above. The one bedroom at Vue at Brickell for $222,000 was a good deal but given the high number of short-sales and foreclosures in the building I think it went for the right amount.
I was shocked that the two bedrooms at the Vue at Brickell and The Club at Brickell Bay went for so much. I’m not sure about the unit at The Club at Brickell Bay, but I know that the one at Vue at Brickell needed some work. It had mold in the unit and the carpets needed to be replaced. In my opinion, the highest bidder of each of these units paid too much. That’s just my opinion though.
Brickell Condo Index – October 2007
As I mentioned in a previous post, The Sail on Brickell will no longer be included in the Brickell Condo Index. I also made a change to the way that the statistics in the third section of the index are presented. It should now be much easier to make sense of the monthly figures. This came as a suggestion from a reader (Thank you!). My comments on this month’s numbers are also found towards the bottom of this post.
The average price per square foot of condos listed has dropped this month to $518.91 from last month’s figure of $525.88. Last month, The Sail on Brickell had an average list price of $507.11 per square foot, so the drop would have been greater had it been included this month and its average remained around the same. The weight-adjusted average also dropped to $521.29 per square foot from last month’s figure of $530.15.
Average price per square foot of units currently listed on the MLS:
The average price per square foot of condos sold over the past six months actually went up this month to $481.69 from last month’s figure of $467.47. The increase would have been less had The Sail on Brickell been included. Last month, it had an average of $386.41 per square foot. If its statistic remained the same, the average would have been $476.39 per square foot. Much of the increase is also attributed to The Mark on Brickell which I will discuss below. The weight-adjusted average went up to $495.31 per square foot from last month’s average of $486.30.
Average price per square foot of Brickell condos sold in the MLS within the past six months:
- Atlantis on Brickell – 2025 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $298.11
- Brickell on the River North – 31 SE 5 St | 33131 | $415.74
- Bristol Tower – 2127 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $440.18
- Emerald at Brickell – 218 SE 14 St | 33131 | $523.78
- Four Seasons Residences – 1425 Brickell Ave | 33131 | $675.30
- Imperial at Brickell – 1627 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $331.99
- Jade Brickell – 1331 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $723.60
- Neo Vertika – 690 SW 1 Ct | 33130 | $329.67
- One Miami – 325 & 335 S Biscayne Blvd | 33131 | $430.12
- Santa Maria – 1643 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $672.22
- Skyline on Brickell – 2101 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $463.75
- Solaris at Brickell – 186 SE 12 Ter | 33131 | $454.32
- The Club at Brickell Bay – 1200 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $660.39
- The Mark on Brickell – 1155 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $589.06
- The Palace – 1541 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $388.54
- Villa Regina – 1581 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $316.62
- Vue at Brickell – 1250 S Miami Ave | 33131 | $475.30
The numbers below are a bit difficult to read but if you save and open the picture file it should make it easier.
The first column to the right of each condo development’s name is the difference in the average sales price and list price for this month, found above, expressed as a percentage. You will notice that Emerald at Brickell, The Club at Brickell Bay, The Mark on Brickell, The Palace and Vue at Brickell are the only developments that have a higher average sales price than list price.
The second column is the number of active listings in each development currently in the MLS. The third column shows the percentage that these listings represent over the total number of condo units in each development. The cells highlighted in green reveal those developments that have active listings that represent less than 10 percent of the the overall units in the building. I find this to be a healthy number. The ones highlighted in red reveal those developments that have active listings that represent over 20 percent of the overall units in the building. This is a very unhealthy figure and should act as a warning sign. Is it coincidence that Jade, The Club at Brickell Bay and Vue at Brickell, which have all been riddled by mortgage fraud appear in red? I think not! I think this statistic is highly important. It provides great insight as to which condo developments will be next to have price cuts and those that may actually go up in price in the coming months. A leading indicator, if you may.
The fourth column shows the number of pending sales while the fifth column displays the number of closed sales within the past month. As I mentioned, last month a large portion of the pending sales at The Club at Brickell Bay are very old. Only three of them have been pending for five months or less. It is good to see, however, that each development has at least one pending sale. The number of closed sales within the past month has dropped to seven, which is its lowest point since I began tracking this statistic. Not good…not good at all!
The sixth column show you the difference in the average list prices from this month’s and last month’s, expressed a percentage. Those highlighted in red reveal those condo developments which had a drop in their average list price while those highlighted in green show those that had an increase. As you see, The Vue at Brickell had a price drop for condos listed of 8.57 percent. Much of this is attributed to the ever-growing number of short-sale and foreclosure units in the building. In fact, I have counted 24 units in the MLS that fit this bill. That represents 7.43 percent of the overall building. Yikes!
The seventh column reveals the difference in average sales prices from this month’s and last month’s expressed as a percentage. The 17.54 percent price increase over last month’s statistic at The Mark on Brickell jumped out at me. Of course, I had to investigate. The good news is that I didn’t find any fraudulent transactions that have occurred within the last month. Thank God! The bad news, however, is that I did discover two transactions that closed in June that I didn’t notice before that appear to be fraudulent. You be the judge! A 2 bedroom/2 bath with 1,200 square feet that was listed at $890,000 closed for $845,000, or $704 per square foot, on June 30, 2007. Another 2 bedroom/2 bath also with 1,200 square feet that was listed for $850,000 closed for $840,000, or $700 per square foot, on June 6, 2007. In each case, the listing agent was also the buyer’s agent. In the second case, the unit previously closed in January of this year for a price of $560,000. Looks like fraud, smells like fraud…what do you think? The average price increase also became more pronounced at The Mark on Brickell because a few other sales that sold in the $300’s and $400’s per square foot fell off the average.
The large drop in prices, over the past month for condos sold over the previous six months, at Neo Vertika were mainly a result of the unit that my client closed on a few weeks ago for $242 per square foot.
100+ Properties to be Auctioned This Saturday
Over 100 properties located throughout South Florida will be auctioned this Saturday in Fort Lauderdale. I’ve known about this auction for quite some time but wasn’t sure whether or not I should write a post about it for a couple of reasons. One, most of the properties are predominantly single family homes while my blog only discusses condominiums. Two, only a handful of the properties are located in Miami and Miami Beach, which is where I focus most of my energy.
I decided to go ahead and inform everybody about it though because a few of the condos reside in developments that I’ve previously mentioned. For example, two condos from Vue at Brickell will be auctioned on Saturday while The Club at Brickell Bay will have one. No surprise there!
Here is a list of some of the condos in some of the more well known developments that will be auctioned:
- Cite on the Bay – Unit #110 – 3 bedroom/2 bath – 1,475 SF
- Four Ambassadors – Unit #344 – 1 bedroom/1.5 bath – 940 SF
- Loft Downtown – Unit #204 – 1 bedroom/1 bath – 784 SF
- The Club at Brickell Bay – Unit #1823 – 2 bedroom/2 bath – 1,105 SF
- Vue at Brickell – Unit #1215 – 2 bedroom/2 bath – 1,116 SF
- Vue at Brickell – Unit #2307 – 1 bedroom/1.5 bath – 814 SF
None of these developments are particularly exceptional but it’ll still be interesting to see at what price they will be auctioned. I think the unit at the Loft Downtown has a good chance to go for around $100,000 or less.
Check out the Hudson & Marshall website for more information about this auction.
By the way, I did noticed that Deutsche Bank is now in possession of a large number of the properties that will be auctioned on Saturday.
Miami Condo Index – Brickell – September 2007
I received an email last week from a potential investor asking me if Miami is now safer than the “Miami Vice days” that he saw on TV. Indeed, the streets of Miami are much safer than they were 20 years ago, but the corruption that infested the city back then is still prevalent now.
Another month, another fraudulent transaction. I guess nobody cares. As I mentioned last month, the rumors are out there that a government agency is on the lookout for such activity but I’ve begun to lose hope that these rumors hold much water. If these rumors are true, then shame on them for allowing such activity to continue, and allowing the reputation of this city to be equated to that of which was prevalent in the 1980s. This past month, I’ve heard that an FBI agent is living at Vue at Brickell and Jade at Brickell Bay. I wouldn’t be surprised if one lives at The Club at Brickell Bay as well.
The continuance of fraudulent activity in Brickell has sickened me. The sooner that the Miami Herald, or some other major newspaper, goes public with this story, the better. The fraudulent activity just needs to stop. It is doing nobody any good to let the fraudulent activity prevail, except those who are facilitating it.
Sorry, but I just had to rant and rave for a moment. Now, back to our regularly scheduled program (but I’ll continue to rant and rave towards the end when I disclose the latest fraudulent transaction).
The average price per square foot of condos listed in the 18 Brickell buildings included in the Brickell Condo Index has dropped to $525.88 from last month’s average price per square foot of $529.05. The weight-adjusted average has also dropped to $530.15 versus last month’s weight-adjusted average price per square foot of $537.67. Both figures are below those that were calculated in July as well.
Average price per square foot of units currently listed on the MLS:
The average price of condos sold over the past six months has dropped to $467.47 per square foot versus last month’s figure of $471.94 per square foot. The weight-adjusted average has also dropped to $486.30 per square foot from last month’s weight-adjusted average of $498.36 per square foot. Much of the decrease is due to the a sizable drop in the averages at The Club at Brickell Bay and Vue at Brickell. Both buildings had fraudulent transactions that fell off the six month average.
The Sail at Brickell had yet another fraudulent transaction this past month. It was conducted by the same broker that conducted the fraudulent transaction at The Sail at Brickell that I spoke of in July. Once again, the broker acted as the listing agent and the selling agent. He must have some luck! He was also able to close the deal the same day that the deal went pending. Imagine that! This guy works miracles. He was able to sell a 2 bedroom/2 bath at The Sail on Brickell for $670,000. Well at least he was able to negotiate the price down $10,000 for his buyer. He has some smooth negotiating skills. He must also have some great persuasion skills because nobody in their right mind would pay $670,000 for a 2 bedroom at The Sail on Brickell.
Average price per square foot of condos sold in the past 6 months:
- Atlantis on Brickell – 2025 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $298.11
- Brickell on the River North – 31 SE 5 St | 33131 | $409.44
- Bristol Tower – 2127 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $440.18
- Emerald at Brickell – 218 SE 14 St | 33131 | $523.78
- Four Seasons Residences – 1425 Brickell Ave | 33131 | $720.15
- Imperial at Brickell – 1627 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $304.56
- Jade at Brickell Bay – 1331 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $690.18
- Neo Vertika – 690 SW 1 Ct | 33130 | $361.99
- One Miami – 325 & 335 S Biscayne Blvd | 33131 | $446.06
- Sail on Brickell – 170 SE 14 St | 33131 | $386.41
- Santa Maria – 1643 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $618.50
- Skyline on Brickell – 2101 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $451.29
- Solaris at Brickell – 186 SE 12 Ter | 33131 | $457.45
- The Club at Brickell Bay – 1200 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $660.39
- The Mark on Brickell – 1155 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $501.16
- The Palace – 1541 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $363.32
- Villa Regina – 1581 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $316.62
- Vue at Brickell – 1250 S Miami Ave | 33131 | $464.83
This is the first month that a development has had a price per square foot under $300 for condos sold over the previous six months since I began this index. Atlantis on Brickell broke through this barrier with an average price per square foot of $298.11. This figure for Atlantis on Brickell will likely continue to decline as a bank-owned listing has remained on the market for quite some time and will likely sell for around $200 per square foot.
Below you will find the new statistics that I have included in this month’s Brickell Condo Index. The first number directly to the right of each development name represents the total number of active listings. The second number, in parentheses, is the number of currently listed condos expressed as a percentage of the total number of condos in the development. The third number represents the number of pending sales while the fourth is the number of closed sales within the past month.
- Atlantis on Brickell – 13 (13.54%) | 1 | 1
- Brickell on the River North– 59 (18.21%) | 4 | 0
- Bristol Tower – 19 (12.93%) | 3 | 1
- Emerald at Brickell – 34 (23.94%) | 1 | 0
- Four Seasons Residences – 18 (6.67%) | 3 | 0
- Imperial at Brickell – 15 (9.32%) | 2 | 0
- Jade at Brickell Bay – 76 (23.31%) | 6 | 1
- Neo Vertika – 78 (17.61%) | 7 | 0
- One Miami – 165 (18.42%) | 6 | 2
- Sail on Brickell – 64 (42.11%) | 2 | 1
- Santa Maria – 10 (5.75%) | 1 | 1
- Skyline on Brickell – 54 (15.00%) | 2 | 1
- Solaris at Brickell – 21 (15.22%) | 2 | 1
- The Club at Brickell Bay – 145 (22.55%) | 11 | 1
- The Mark on Brickell – 43 (11.62%) | 0 | 1
- The Palace – 25 (9.84%) | 1 | 0
- Villa Regina – 20 (9.62%) | 0 | 0
- Vue at Brickell – 62 (19.20%) | 1 | 0
Two numbers jumped out at me when reviewing this month’s findings: the 42.11% of available listings at The Sail on Brickell and the 11 pending sales at The Club at Brickell Bay.
I knew that prices were high and unjustified at The Sail on Brickell with mortgage fraud having much to do with it, but I never would have imagined that over 40 percent of the building would be available for sale. That’s incredible! However, a look at the current list prices should make those who have visited this building realize that the prices at The Sail on Brickell are ridiculous. Of the 18 buildings included in the Brickell Condo Index, I would rank The Sail at Brickell at the bottom. There are no views and the common areas and amenities are below Brickell standards. The developer, Renzi Development, recently announced that they plan to go forth with their Beacon at Brickell Village development. I sure hope they have second thoughts. The Sail on Brickell will eventually sell for around $250 per square foot (and that’s being generous). If I were a condo owner who is motivated to sell at The Sail on Brickell then I would be priced at the front of the large pack.
When I saw the 11 pending sales at The Club at Brickell Bay I was quite surprised. At first I thought it was my lack of REM sleep setting in. Once I realized that it wasn’t, I had to investigate further. What I found made this number a complete sham. Of the 11 pending sales, 9 of them have been pending since 2005 and 2006. What the….? It usually takes two months, maybe three months tops, to take a pending sale to the closing table. The other two pending sales have been pending since January and March of 2007. Something just isn’t right. Most likely the sales prices couldn’t be justified. Take 6 months, 12, months, 36 months and the prices still won’t be justified. These transactions should be reclassified as “hopeless” rather than pending. A 1 bedroom/1 bath at The Club at Brickell Bay will be going up for auction tomorrow, September 19, 2007 at 3pm. That will give everyone a good indication as to the fate of prices at The Club at Brickell Bay. You can be sure that I’ll report about it within the next couple of days.
So there you have it, that is the latest Brickell Condo Index. The good news is that there were 11 closed sales within the past month versus a total of eight closed sales the month prior to last. There were a total of nine closed sales the month prior to that.
There are a total of 42 pending sales disregarding the 11 at The Club at Brickell Bay since those have been discredited. As long as half of those transactions actually close, then there should be about 10-11 closed sales next month. I guess we’ll just have to wait and see. I’m praying that we won’t have another fraudulent transaction then. If we do, and you thought I ranted and raved now, just wait until next month.
Governmental Intervention in the Housing Market
Yesterday, President Bush discussed his plan to aid homeowners at risk of losing their homes. Most of the plan focused on assisting borrowers to refinance their adjustable-rate loans to more conventional loans provided by the Federal Housing Authority.
I took a look at his recommendations and of particular interest to me was his proposal to temporarily suspend the tax liability that is owed by homeowners when performing a short-sale. As of now, the IRS has the right to tax the loan amount that is forgiven by the lender. It is considered a forgiveness of debt.
Short-sales have become very popular, as of late, because home prices have dropped in recent years and adjustable-rate mortgages have begun to reset. It has become more common for the value of a home to be less than what is owed to the bank. For example, let’s say that you purchased a 2 bedroom condo in 2005 for $500,000 and financed 90 percent of the purchase price. Two years later the value of your home has dropped and you have fallen two months behind on your payments. In the past, when homeowners were in this situation they would tap into the equity on their home by refinancing to take cash out. This is no longer an option, however, to most, because home prices have fallen. Oftentimes, two possibilities exist: lose your home through foreclosure or sell your home through a short-sale.
In the example above, let’s say that the price of your 2 bedroom condo has fallen to $400,000. You owe the bank roughly $450,000. You’ve talked to some knowledgeable acquaintances and they’ve advised you to do a short-sale. Basically, a short-sale means that the bank is willing to accept a pay-off amount that is short of what is owed to them. You contact a local real estate agent to list your property and within a few weeks an offer of $380,000 is submitted.
What is important to note is that two parties need to accept the offer: the seller and the bank. The reason why the seller has to sign off on the offer is because the IRS has the right to tax them on the amount of the loan that is forgiven. In this case, a tax on the $70,000 forgiveness of debt will be due the following April.
The bank also has to approve the offer because they are the ones who are accepting the shortfall in the original amount owed. The banks will ask the homeowner to have an appraisal performed at their expense. Banks are not stupid. They realize that the market has declined but they aren’t going to accept just any offer.
Recently, I’ve come across a few short-sales in the MLS that just don’t make any sense. For example, there’s a 2 bedroom/2 bath listed for $295,000 at Vue at Brickell. There’s also a 1 bedroom/1 bath listed for $217,000 at The Club at Brickell Bay. I’ve written about both buildings in the past and how prices in each building are inflated due to the mortgage fraud that has occurred. However, these prices are a step in the wrong direction and are unjustified. The 2 bedroom at Vue at Brickell is the best priced unit in the entire building, including the 1 bedroom units. The 1 bedroom condo at The Club at Brickell Bay is better priced than even the studios.
Listings like these are a waste of time for everyone involved in the transaction: the seller, the buyer, the bank and the two real estate agents. Just because it is a short-sale doesn’t mean that you can list a property at a price that will get you an offer within a week. As of right now, it is also doing a great disservice to the seller who will have a large tax bill come next April should the offer get accepted by the lender.
As I mentioned earlier, however, President Bush has proposed to temporarily suspend the tax that is owed to the IRS on the amount that is forgiven when a distressed homeowner performs a short-sale. If this becomes a reality it will alleviate a lot of problems for distressed property owners. Short-sales will become more common.
It wouldn’t surprise me, however, if we start seeing mortgage fraud occur in reverse. Appraisals will start coming in very low to justify the offers that are submitted to the banks. It’ll be a nightmare for banks. Accredited local appraisers need to be in place for these banks to be able to cleanly wash themselves from the mortgage mess at hand.
