Checking In On IconBrickell’s Sales And Rental Values
It has been 3 months since we last checked in on IconBrickell’s pool project, and construction is now well underway. The photo above was taken this morning during one of our showings. You can see that the trees have been removed and their soil is now being removed to make way for the tile demolition.
Back in November, we noticed that the prices were in a virtual free-fall. Thankfully, the trend has not continued now that the work is underway. In the last 3 months, the average sales price per square foot has actually risen to $492/square foot and sellers have been discounting their listing prices less than the Brickell market overall. IconBrickell sellers are accepting an average of 94% of their asking price, opposed to the average of 92% of asking price that is being accepted throughout the neighborhood.
In the rental market, we have seen a flurry of action! A whopping 96 apartments were leased in the building during the last 3 months, with 49 pending contracts waiting for move-in day. The prices have fallen, but not as far as many have feared. Apartments are starting at $1,700/month for studios, $1,900/month for one bedrooms and $2,500/month for two bedrooms. Please also note that the prices I am giving are AFTER negotiation. The landlords are not negotiating as much as some may hope. The studios are offering very little room for negotiation, one and two bedrooms may reduce their asking price by $100 or so, but nothing dramatic. Despite the pool hiccup, it seems the building is still very popular to tenants.
One metric that was alarming to me was the fact that there are currently 228 active listings for sale in the project, but only 12 closings during the last 90 days and 14 units with contracts in escrow. Since inventory is up and closings are down but values are holding steady, this tells me that only the owners who really need to sell are doing so. This is good news for IconBrickell fans, it shows the owners understand that the building will be restored to its former glory once the repairs are complete. Unfortunately for those who were hoping to capitalize on the building’s situation, it doesn’t look like that strategy is panning out as well as many had hoped.
We will check back in a few months and see how the trend is moving along. In the meantime, you can browse the available options here.
January 2017 Brickell Real Estate Market Update
This is a very interesting time in Miami’s real estate market and we are going to start doing more regular market updates of the various neighborhoods and even individual buildings. We’ll start with Brickell, but don’t hesitate to reach out and make a request if there is a specific neighborhood or building that you are curious about.
SALES MARKET
January 2017 brought 41 closed sales in Brickell, according to MLS data, down from 66 in January of 2016. These were seller to buyer transactions, not developer to buyer transactions, since developer to buyer transactions are not reported in the MLS. We will do a separate post with developer-buyer transactions for each building as they open and the sales are recorded.
Although the number of transactions fell, the average price rose to $514,000 for those 41 closed sales. 2016’s average price was $500,000. The average price per square foot also rose to $412/square foot, up from $401/square foot last year. The condos that found buyers had an average time on the market of 163 days, last year was 114 days. It seems the longer marketing time and increasing inventory choices for buyers has made the sellers more eager to sell. The buyers who transacted were able to negotiate down to 92% of the asking price this January, down from 97% of the buyers who bought last January.
The most expensive listing that sold this month was Tower Suite 3801 in Reach at Brickell City Centre. It sold for $1.95M and was offered at $2.1M and the buyer was represented by our very own Lucas Lechuga. We did an in-depth look at the numbers from that transaction last week. The least expensive sale of the month was a $168,000 studio at Brickell’s original condo building, the Four Ambassador.
As of today, there are 1,888 active listings in Brickell (300 of which are new listings in January), averaging $725,000 and $508/square foot. If we continue selling at this rate, we have enough inventory for 46 months of business. With this amount of available alternatives for the buyers, the sellers who are eager to move on from their units need to not only price them aggressively but also hire an agent with strong marketing power so that you stand out from the crowd.
RENTAL MARKET There were 306 new leases signed in January of this year, up from 264 in 2016. The average rental price is $2,466/month, basically the same as last year’s $2,440. The 306 landlords who found new tenants beat out the competition of 1,442 alternative active listings, 465 of which were new listings.
Although the number of transactions is up and the prices are holding firm, the marketing time is increased this year to an average of 79 days on the market. Last year it took an average of 65 days to find a new tenant and move them in.
Tenants should not smell blood in the water yet though. The 306 leases that were signed garnered 96% of the asking price, so lowballing isn’t a thing just yet. The landlords who are not into 2+ months of vacancy are pricing their units well and finding a tenant quickly.
The most expensive rental of the month was the Four Seasons Residences Unit 44C. That one rented for $9,750/month. The least expensive was a studio at The Club at Brickell Bay for $1,400. It is important to note that the entry-level apartments in the neighborhood are less likely to negotiate price. Brickell is increasingly a hot neighborhood, so the entry point options are very much in demand.
What trends do you anticipate for Brickell? Weigh in and we’ll follow back up next month!
Inside Rise at Brickell City Centre
Last summer, we were able to take a photo tour through Reach Tower at Brickell City Centre shortly after it opened. Reach is now 95% sold out and its sister tower, Rise at Brickell City Centre has opened as well.
Rise is located at 88 SW 7th Street, above Saks Fifth Avenue. It has 43 floors and 390 total units ranging from 1 bedrooms up to 3 bedrooms, Tower Suites with 4 bedrooms and 3-5 bedroom Penthouses. They are currently 60% sold and move-ins are underway. The prices for each tower start in the mid $600,000’s and go up to $2,750,000 for the 4 bedroom Tower Suite at Rise.
Stay tuned for Friday, when we will tour the available Tower Suites and Penthouses on both projects with details on each.
Here are the photos of our tour of the Rise model apartments. You can find the associated floor plans here. If you are interested in a personal tour, don’t hesitate to reach out. We’re always available to set it up for you.
The street-level lobby:
The 6th Floor Resident’s Lobby:
A full-service Hammam and Salon:
The model units are all on the 31st floor:
Diana and Francisco are making deals while touring. Multitasking like champs!
Surprisingly, the west view apartments also have a water view:
The kitchen is finished with the Latte color palette. Also available, kitchens in Espresso palette.
These are the standard finishes for all master bathrooms:
Master bedroom closets are delivered finished out:
Northeast views from the 31st floor:
Direct east views:
The rooftop of the office towers are finished with grass, making an additional community area:
Reach Tower as seen from Rise:
Our sunset happy hour awaits! Check out that view!
Doing deals while sampling the amazing food at Sugar. I recommend the boneless Korean chicken wings, but everything we sampled was amazing.
Looking south into Brickell as the sun sets.
Preconstruction Investor Sells Reach Tower Suite At $350k Loss
A buyer has scooped up an amazing deal on one of the last Tower Suites at Brickell City Centre’s Reach Tower. The original buyer had paid $2,175,000 back in August of 2016, then listed the property on the MLS as a resale shortly thereafter.
The buyer was able to snag the opportunity for $1,950,000, represented by our very own Lucas Lechuga with a quick and seamless closing. After the developer fee on the purchase, the price negotiation and commission on the resale, the seller walked away from over $350,000 in the transaction!
The apartment has 2,740 square feet with 3 bedrooms, 4.5 baths and encompasses the entire east side of the building, offering gorgeous views of the neighborhood and Biscayne Bay. You can find the floor plan here. No word on the reason the investor was willing to take such a drastic loss, but congratulations to the buyer! Here’s a tour of the layout:
Do you think any of the pre-construction investors will be able to turn a profit on their resales now that the buildings are all opening?
SLS Lux Reduces Prices On Final Inventory Of Penthouses
I have long said that the best time to buy in a new development is either in the very beginning or at the very end of the sales cycle. That is when the buyer gets the best deal.
In the beginning, the developer offers lower pricing in exchange for being among the first to participate in the project. You don’t receive a tour of the building and many times the sales center isn’t even completed yet. At the end of the project, the developer has a handful of units remaining and is eager to move on to their next project, so are less likely to hold on to top dollar for those last few purchase opportunities.
My personal favorite time to sell an apartment is at the very end of the sales cycle. At that point, the buyer can have a tour of the project, they know that it will actually happen because they can see it, and many times they can still choose their finishes. Some people think that the last few units remaining are the dog apartments of the building, but that is not what my experience has shown. It is typically penthouses because they are so unique.
So, here we are at SLS Lux. After opening sales in the summer of 2014, the partnership between Related Group and The Allen Morris Company is now on the home stretch to Sold Out status. They have five remaining units, all penthouses. In an effort to close out the building as quickly as possible and reflect the new market, they have repriced the last inventory. Here are the new prices:
Penthouse 04
This one has northern exposure, looking over Brickell City Centre to see Downtown Miami and the Biscayne Bay. It has 2,777 square feet and 3 bedrooms, 4 bathrooms and a den. There are three of these remaining.
Lower Penthouse 04 has been reduced to $2,599,900 from $2,999,900.
Middle Penthouse 04 has been reduced to $2,649,900 from $3,149,900.
Upper Penthouse 04 has been reduced to $2,699,900 from $3,199,900.
The 01 penthouses have 1,888 square feet with 3 bedrooms, 3 baths and a den. They are on the northwest corner of the building, looking over Brickell City Centre into Downtown Miami. Two of these remain, both priced at $1,599,900. The previous price was $1,999,900.
In addition to the amenities and standard finishes in SLS Lux, the penthouses will have upgraded kitchens, 12 foot ceilings, summer kitchens on the terraces and 2 assigned parking spaces. Completion is expected late this year. Here is a preview of the views from the various penthouses.
Brickell Heights is 100% Sold Out, Closings Beginning in the Spring
Just ahead of their opening day, Brickell Heights has sold the last of their pre-construction condos. The building is preparing to open on schedule in late April or early May of this year, according to the developer’s representative who we work with, Yenny Hanley.
Of the project’s 690 units, the last to sell were the penthouses, but this is a common occurrence in new projects. Because they are so customized, the penthouses typically take longer to sell. SLS Brickell still has a penthouse available, as does SLS Lux and ECHO Brickell. Back when Infinity at Brickell was doing their initial sell-off, the penthouses were in the last handful of apartments to sell as well. Brickell Heights has been a very successful project, with all of the units being sold for around $500/square foot.
The closings are expected to begin in late April or early May, depending upon the permit process. Equinox is already hard at work signing up new members for their 30,000 square foot location within the project. SoulCycle is also expected to open alongside the residential portion of the project.
It is so exciting to see our new neighborhood coming together!
Brickell Flatiron’s Foundation Pour Is Tonight
Image courtesy of CMC Group
The foundation pour for Ugo Colombo’s Brickell Flatiron is scheduled to begin tonight! When completed in 2018, the building will reach 750 feet into the skyline and have 65 floors.
This will be the largest pour to-date for Moss Construction, the contractor for the project. Since the building is so tall, the foundation will be 12,500 cubic yards and use 1,300 truckloads of concrete. This will take place over a span of 24 hours, according to The Next Miami. In order to ensure the strength of the foundation, the concrete must be poured continuously until it is complete.
Of the 552 total units, around 60% are currently sold, a representative from the developer reported. Prices on remaining inventory start at $465k. If you would like to view the pour, the 10th Street Metromover Station offers a bird’s eye view. Concrete starts flowing at 10pm and the developer will be hosting an event on Saturday to commemorate the milestone.
Miami’s Rental Market Is In Decline, About To Be Flooded. What Does This Mean For You?
The rental market in the Downtown Miami area is in for a jolt, according to an inventory report from the Downtown Development Authority. Many people expected that rental prices would begin to decline in 2017 as the new luxury condo buildings begin to open. As of the third quarter of 2016, the prices were already beginning to decline after buildings such as The Bond at Brickell and SLS Brickell began to open, flooding the market with new options for prospective tenants.
What many people did not see was the influx of new rental buildings that are going to start being delivered in 2017. A few have already come to market, but 2017 promises a whole new array of choices for tenants. Landlords are fervently trying to keep their tenants if leases are coming up for renewal, but many of the options are too good to pass up. In 2016, we saw 3,748 new condo units come to the market and 1,038 additional units in rental-only buildings. 2017 will flip that number, with 2,774 new condo options and 3,575 new units in rental-only buildings.
What to do if you are a tenant?
Don’t be greedy. While the market is in decline, the condos for rent in Miami are not going to rent for fire-sale prices. Yes, you may have more leeway in negotiation than once before with condo units, rental-only buildings typically do not negotiate their prices. Rather, they are pre-set at the beginning of each day based upon an algorithm in their computer software.
A quick move-in is worth a lot. If you can offer to move-in as quickly as possible, you will have more negotiation power than if you are shopping several months in advance. I always say that the sweet spot between the contract date and the move-in date is 3 weeks. That gives everyone enough time to get their paperwork together and applications completed. Building applications commonly take 2 full weeks in condo developments. Rental-only developments are commonly quicker, so are a good option if you get in a pinch and need to move even more quickly.
Have ONE agent to represent you. Make sure that person is someone who is well-informed about the market and what is available. That will prevent you from drowning yourself in options and becoming frustrated. Be open with your agent about what features you like and what features you are disinterested in. Let your agent take you to rental developments as well. Many times, we know ahead of time what the availability and rough price ranges are at the rental developments.
What to do if you are a landlord?
If you currently have a good tenant, entice them to stay and treat them well.
Don’t panic, but understand the monetary value of each month of vacancy. Price your available rental on the market as quickly as possible and with a firm that will give you the most exposure.
When reviewing offers, consider reductions based upon the risk of a full month of vacancy rather than holding onto the idea that your condo will earn as much this year as it did in years past. It won’t. If you have a unit that was previously earning $3,000/month and you receive a quick-move in offer for $2,750/month, it would be a good business decision to accept. Otherwise, you could be stuck accepting far less in contract value on top of the $3,000 expense of having the unit vacant for a month.
Negotiate with people who lowball. Run your numbers and decide what is the lowest price you can accept based upon available options for the tenant and the amount of vacancy that you are already into. Not that you will always have to accept that lowest price, but you know how much room you really have for negotiation.
Remember that just like market storms that we have weathered in the past, this one will blow over. The condos will still be beautiful and in-demand afterward. If you need to sell, then sell. Otherwise just be patient until the inventory is absorbed.
How Much Should The Owners Of Brickell Harbour Expect From Their Buyout?
Earlier this month, we reported that the owners of Brickell Harbour are being solicited for a buyout by a mystery developer. Well, the offers have come in and unfortunately (yet expected), we cannot talk about what has been offered because they are bound under a tight confidentiality clause. What we can talk about is how much the sale is likely to garner for the owners if a good deal is made.
It is common in condo buyout deals for the developer to hold the owners under a contingency stating that the sale will only take place if 90% of the residents agree to sell. Otherwise, it makes no sense for the developer to own the building since they would not be able to develop. There are always those last few owners who hold out for the most money and sometimes it works, but sometimes it just ends up throwing a wrench in the entire deal. So, how much is a realistic number for Brickell Harbour as a development site?
First, let’s look at the most recent comparable sale. The development site at 25 NE 25th Road is just over 1 acre of waterfront land with 155 linear feet of bay frontage. It is around 300 feet deep. Once you break down the final purchase price of $48 million, that works out to just over $1,000/ft of land. The units combined are comprised of 76,291 square feet of livable space or $629/square foot ($800,000 per unit for the 61 units).
25 Bay Tower Development Site
Now let’s look at Brickell Harbour. In comparison to 25 Bay Tower, Brickell Harbour is a far superior development site. Its location at the south end of Brickell Bay drive is closer to the hustle and bustle of Brickell’s city vibe, yet secluded enough to offer peace and quiet along the bay. The site offers 275 feet of linear bay frontage and half an acre more of developable space. Both sites are in the same zone for height restrictions, allowing up to 600 feet of building height. Variances can be given, but this is where we are today.
Another feature of the site at Brickell Harbour that sticks out as a big upside is the marina. Building new marinas is extremely tedious from a permitting standpoint due to the environmental impact they cause, making them nearly impossible to add. Given all of these factors, I estimate that a final sales price of Brickell Harbour would be far north of the $1,000/square foot of land that 25 Bay Tower received.
Now that we’ve looked at the comparable and determined why Brickell Harbour is worth more, let’s get down to the numbers. Using the same price per square foot of developable land as OKO Group’s purchase would amount to a $70 million purchase for Brickell Harbour. That breaks down to an average of $380,000 per unit at Brickell Harbour, or an average of $512/square foot of livable space. Add in the increased desirability of the lot size, location and added marina, we could see a purchase of $80 million!
How much do you think the owners will end up garnering at the end of the negotiation? Do you think it will go through?
