Vue at Brickell – Overpriced or Insanely Overpriced?
I’d have to go with the latter on this one. A look at the current inventory of condo units for sale at the Vue at Brickell will show that the average price per square foot that these units are currently listed for is over $550. $550 per square foot! That’s for a non-waterfront condo unit, with partial bay views at best, in a building that is, by most standards, NOT a luxury high-rise building. In fact, Vue at Brickell was formerly known as Summit Brickell View when it was a rental building. The acquisition of the Summit Brickell View was made in December 2004 and conversion of the 323 units to condos began quickly thereafter. Grant it, the Summit Brickell View had recently been completed when the acquisition was made, and almost 70% of the units had never been occupied. Either way, it had, and in most cases still has, the features of a rental building. The majority of the units currently for sale still have the ceramic tile and carpeting throughout just the way they were sold when the units were sold as condos. The pictures below will show you a typical unit at Vue at Brickell.
Keep in mind that this is a typical unit at Vue at Brickell. I realize that some units have upgraded flooring and appliances, but the majority of units listed at Vue at Brickell look like this. Some units are even listed at over $700 per square foot! Those better come with marble floors, a Sub-Zero refrigerator, a Miele dishwasher, and a butler and maid! But they don’t even come close. In fact, two of those listings priced at over $700 per square foot come with ceramic tile and carpeting throughout, just as they were when the building was known as Summit Brickell View. One of those listings says “motivated sellers”. Motivated? Maybe they’re motivated to WAIT. Even the three bank-owned listings in this building are overpriced, ranging from $436 to $510 per square foot.
So what made this building so insanely overpriced? Did everyone get together and smoke the wacky tobacky without me or is something more afoul going on here? A look at closed sales for 2007 in the building reveal that mortgage fraud may have been the culprit. Three of the eight closed sales in 2007 sold for prices much higher than the asking price. Here they are below:
List price: $549,995
Sales price: $720,000
List price: $619,000
Sales price: $770,000
List price: $647,000
Sales price: $830,000
These types of cash-back deals have been the focus of a recent mortgage fraud investigation throughout the country. A cash-back scam occurs when a buyer offers to pay a significant amount more than the asking price, with the difference returned to them at closing. Most banks like to keep the cash-back amount to no more than 3% of the purchase price, and almost all lenders have a ceiling of 6%. In most cases, the seller and the listing agent are not aware that anything wrong is occuring and are just happy to have finally sold the property. Lenders, on the otherhand, are unaware of these large cash-back payments because the details of the arrangement are concealed within an addendum that does not get submitted to the bank along with the rest of the sales contract. Unscrupulous appraisers are often used to justify the inflated value of the property and the bank lends based on the purchase price stated on the contract after review of the appraisal.
It is no secret that Florida is well known for the mortgage fraud that has been running rampant throughout the state. In fact, according to a report released by the Mortgage Bankers Association, Florida led the nation in mortgage fraud in 2006. Hopefully, the mortgage fraud investigation throughout the state, and the rest of the country, will put an end to this nonsense so property values can return to an equilibrium state as dictated by the law of supply and demand.
If my assumptions are correct, and previous condo owners at the Vue at Brickell did fall prey to this sort of cash-back scam, then prices there will come in for a crash landing. There’s another building in Brickell that I feel may have a similar fate but I’ll leave that for an upcoming blog entry.
Subprime Mortgage Fallout
An article posted today on CNN.com, entitled “Speed of subprime bust surprises lenders”, discusses how the speed and depth of the subprime mortgage fallout has surprised even those who had predicted its occurrence. Banks have stopped offering a variety of mortgage loan products that were prevalently available last year. There is no doubt that the subprime mortgage collapse has put a halt to the once red-hot real estate market and has pushed home prices lower as people across the country face foreclosure. Many would argue that these risky loans acted as the fuel that drove home prices far higher than expected.
Banks, looking to stay afloat, have become much more flexible in negotiating outstanding mortgage debt in hopes to recover a good portion of their loans rather than being at the mercy of the foreclosure and auction processes. Foreclosure inventories, and that of existing homes for sale, has gone up considerably this year. Coupled with the large number of housing units coming to market throughout the country in the next 12-24 months, the real estate market may be in far worse condition than many had expected.
Pre-foreclosure @ Flamingo South Beach
A 1 bedroom pre-foreclosure unit at Flamingo South Beach has recently been listed in the MLS. I think this is going to be the first of many pre-foreclosures and foreclosures that we’ll be seeing at Flamingo South Beach in the next 12 months. In my opinion, Flamingo South Beach will turn out to be a solid investment in the long-term, but with 1,688 total units in the three towers that comprise Flamingo South Beach and current real estate market conditions, it is going to take a long while for the demand to catch up with the supply.
Flamingo South Beach is the largest condo-conversion ever to occur in the United States. MCZ Development Corp has completed the conversion of the south tower, which total 562 units, and has recently begun the sale of the 614 units in the north tower. MCZ Development Corp will likely begin the sale of the remaining 512 units in the center tower early next year, if they choose to exercise their option to purchase that tower.
Unfortunately, the recently listed 1 bedroom pre-foreclosure at Flaming South Beach is grossly overpriced. At a list price of $369,000, and an average price per square foot of over $500, it isn’t even close to being the best priced resale in the south tower. With minimal views from the third floor facing the open courtyard, I think we’ll see this unit move once the owner becomes truly motivated to avoid foreclosure.
Prediction…a list price of under $300K will get it sold. View all South Beach condos.
The video below will show you a typical 2 bedroom at Flamingo South Beach to give you an idea of how the interior of the units look. This is NOT the pre-foreclosure unit. The unit in the video is much larger and has fantastic views of Biscayne Bay, Star Island and the Miami skyline from a much higher floor.
One of best amenities at Flamingo South Beach is the 15,000 square foot, state-of-the-art fitness center. It has recently become the newest addition to the David Barton Gym chain and has been renamed accordingly. The video below will show you the fitness before the transition was made from being called the Flamingo Athletic Club to David Barton Gym.
Update: 2 Bedroom Foreclosure @ The Cosmopolitan in South Beach
The 2 bedroom foreclosure at The Cosmopolitan in South Beach that I blogged about two days ago is under contract. However, there is a second 2 bedroom foreclosure in the building that is currently listed at $520,000. The previous owner of this South Beach condo paid $590,000 in September 2006, according to the Miami-Dade property search. This one has a balcony and a partial view of the ocean. The pictures below are from the MLS listing for that unit.
I took a drive through the Performing Arts District today and noticed the progress being made on the development known as Filling Station Lofts. This will be the second loft development of The Intrepid Real Estate Company in Miami, and I, for one, am looking forward to it.
With the exception of a few overpriced units being left until the end of construction, Filling Station Lofts has been sold out for over a year. The Intrepid Real Estate Company, under the direction of developer Henry Harper, first brought the New-York-style industrial loft to Miami with their first development known as Parc Lofts, located catty-corner to the development site of Filling Station Lofts. The bold and unique marketing pieces of The Intrepid Real Estate Company caught people’s eyes over a year ago. This one, entitled “BubbleProof”, provided words of wisdom to those looking to purchase one of their loft units during a frenzied real estate market. Simply put, their message was that a person’s love for owning a unique space, such as a loft, should be the motivating factor behind making such a purchase, and not that person’s love for money, nor the expectation thereof.
The industrial loft concept is truly unique to Miami. I often get people from cities such as Chicago and New York who contact me looking for a large, raw, open space and the only building that comes to mind is Parc Lofts. They can’t understand how there aren’t other industrial loft buildings throughout Miami. Simply put…Miami didn’t undergo the Industrial Revolution like many of the major cities in the North. We, therefore, lack the large abandoned warehouses found in the North which were later converted into lofts. Miami has had to rely on developer’s, such as Henry Harper, to build these loft buildings from the ground up.
There are a few industrial-style loft buildings in South Beach, but none that offer the type of space like Parc Lofts. With loft sizes that reach a mind-boggling 5,436 square feet, Parc Lofts was built with SIZE in mind. Market forces have created a large premium built into those units at Parc Lofts with over 2,000 square feet. If someone needs a space of that size then Parc Lofts is the only building in Miami that can offer it. Zoned as a live/work building, there are many potential ways that a space of this size can be used. Most who own these units at Parc Lofts are fully aware of the premium that their units fetch. While the number of potential buyers out there for this type of size may be scarce, the number of lofts of this size in Miami is even scarcer.
This has been a blog topic that has been on the back of my mind for the past couple of months. I kept brushing it off as nothing more than residents griping out loud, but after delving deeper into the issues, I now realize that there are major questions to the quality of construction that was put into the development of Neo Vertika. Neo Vertika resides in the neighborhood of Miami known as Brickell, or West Brickell to some. It was completed in August of 2006 and has had nothing but problems since its inception. There have been three major water leakages, two of which resulted in entire floors being flooded; the building sprinkler system has needed replacement, requiring worker-access to each and every unit; and the air conditioning system is unusually loud. I have personally spoken to a few condo owners at Neo Vertika who received hefty insurance checks after having their units flooded, which had destroyed their recently laid hardwood floors. While these payments might be justifiable to the afflicted parties, they will inevitably be paid for by current and future condo owners of that building, either directly or indirectly. My guess is that a major increase in association fees is just around the corner for condo owners at Neo Vertika.
Prices at Neo Vertika have dipped in the last six months. The various problems with the building, such as the ones mentioned here, will likely pour salt in an open wound and make matters worse. I have also heard similiar construction complaints about the first Neo LLC development known as Neo Lofts. This makes me wonder how sound the other two developments currently under construction by Neo LLC, known as Wind and Cima, can be. Maybe Coastal Construction Group, the construction company used to build Neo Vertika, can get it right this time with Wind and Cima.
In other news at Neo Vertika, the pool-side bar is now complete. While Miami has the reputation of being a 24/7 party, this type of action is unheard of for a condo building in Miami. Prior to the installation of the pool-side bar, I have had several clients complain that the building has turned into a fraternity house. While this might be an ideal situation for some, most condo owners there will suffer. I’m guessing that the opening of the pool-side bar, and the money that will be made from it, is management’s answer to the ensuing insurance hike that will inevitably occur. Anything not tackled by the profit of the pool-side bar will eventually be passed along to condo owners in higher association fees.
At least the construction of the bar looks good. Take a look at the pictures above and the video below to see it for yourself. Cheers!
2 Bedroom Foreclosure @ The Cosmopolitan in South Beach is Prime for the Picking
There’s a 2 bedroom foreclosure at The Cosmopolitan in South Beach that is prime for the picking. Located on the corner of 1st Street and Washington Avenue, The Cosmopolitan is two blocks from Ocean Drive and the beach. Having been built in 2004, The Cosmopolitan is one of the more recent additions to the South Beach neighborhood known as South of Fifth, commonly referred to by locals as SoFi. South of Fifth is arguably the best neighborhood in South Beach, and with a few exceptions, such as The Setai, has the most expensive real estate in South Beach. The neighborhood is also home to some of the hottest nightlife spots in South Beach, such as Nikki Beach, Pearl, Prive, and Opium Garden, and has top restaurants, such as the world-famous Joe’s Stone Crab, Monty’s Raw Bar, China Grill and Smith & Wollensky.
Earlier this year, the bank took possession of this 2 bedroom/2 bathroom condo unit, with 1,010 square feet, and has recently listed it with a traditional real estate agent. On May 1, 2007 it was listed at $560,000. At that price, it was the second best priced 2 bedroom unit at The Cosmopolitan but still far from being considered a true bargain. The owner of this unit paid $545,000 in July 2006. Two days later, on May 3, 2007, the price of the property was reduced $40,000 to $520,000 which, according to closed sales figures in the MLS, is the lowest that a 2 bedroom unit at The Cosmopolitan has ever been resold. Still no takers. On May 15, 2007, the bank once again dropped the price to $485,000. In the past six months, only one 2 bedroom/2 bathroom unit with the same square footage has sold in The Cosmopolitan. It closed in January 2007 for $587,500. Another 2 bedroom/2 bathroom unit that was 186 square feet larger sold for $668,000 in April 2007.
In my opinion, this is one price drop away from being considered an excellent deal. The only problem is that if another price drop should occur, several South Beach real estate investors, with their money on the sidelines, will likely submit offers on this property. The better option is to make an offer now, below the current list price, to avoid being in a multiple-offer situation. I don’t know about you, but anything under $450,000 sounds pretty juicy to me.
I’m going to try to take pictures and video footage of this unit tomorrow and post them here if I can. It may take a few days since it says that the unit is currently tenant-occupied.
There’s a good short-sale opportunity in Brickell in a development known as Brickell on the River. The building is fairly new, having been completed in 2006, and has amenities which include: valet parking, a tri-level state-of-the-art fitness center, business center, 24-hour security, concierge, swimming pool, hot tub and club room. The monthly association fees also covers basic Cable TV, DSL, water, sewer and garbage.
I took a look at the unit in question last night and was very impressed with what I saw. Click on the thumbnails above to see full-size pictures of the actual unit. The 1 bedroom/1 bathroom condo located on the 27th floor has 775 square feet of living space, a balcony, stackable washer/dryer, stainless steel appliances, track lighting, blackout blinds, marble floors in the bathroom and hard wood floors throughout the rest of the unit. The unit faces west and has great views of the sunset and the boats passing by along the Miami River.
The current owner is in the foreclosure process and the bank has decided to accept short-sale offers. The owner paid $341,000 for the unit in September 2006 and it is currently listed at $280,000. I took a look at the closed sales in the building for the past six moths for 1 bedroom units with the same floor plan. There were only two closings for 1 bedroom units with the exact same floor plan as the unit in question. Both units were sold “decorator-ready” which means that the unit was sold without any flooring, light fixtures or window treatments. The first unit is located on the 12th floor and sold for $290,000 in February of this year while the second unit is located on the 16th floor and sold for $325,000 in December 2006. Keep in mind that the foreclosure unit is fully decorated and doesn’t require any additional money to make the unit complete. I am relatively confident that the bank would accept an offer in the ballpark of $240,000 to $250,000.
The unit is currently occupied by a tenant who is paying $1,650 per month. The lease ends at the end of July but the tenant has made it clear that he would be willing to terminate the lease early if the buyer is looking to occupy the property prior to the lease termination date. The maintenance fee is $440 per month.
Feel free to call or email me with any questions that you might have.
Judgment Day Just Around the Corner for the Miami Condo Market
There are a number of premier condo buildings that are scheduled for completion in the next six months throughout Miami. These include, but are not limited to, the following:
It will be interesting to see, in the coming months, where prices will go from here. The number of distressed properties has been climbing throughout Miami-Dade County and that number should escalate as these new units hit the market. A year ago properties in Miami were selling like hotcakes. 12 months later the market has cooled considerably in Miami, as has the overall national real estate market. Vulture capitalists have been circling the skies of Miami for over two years, waiting for the right moment to swoop in and scavenge the real estate market here in Miami. 12 months ago vulture capitalists were told that their moment would never come as some real estate markets, throughout the United States, turned in double-digit growth. However, the next six months might be just the moment that they have been waiting for as national foreclosure filings has increased 35 percent over the previous year, according to RealtyTrac. Coupled with the increasing number of new properties that will come on board in the coming months, Miami may be ripe for the picking. The question is “Will the vulture capitalists provide a cushioned bottom for the inevitable judgment day that awaits the condo market?”. “Can their deep pockets provide the support that this market needs or will we find out just how deep the rabbit-hole goes?”
As the day of judgment comes we, here at Miami Condo Investments, will be ready to seek out the best opportunities and pass them along to our faithful blog subscribers. We plan to provide a complete analysis on all condo investment opportunities that meet our criteria, along with a comparative market analysis, pictures of the properties and, in some cases, video so our subscribers can fully grasp the opportunity.
Welcome to the Miami Condo Investments Blog!
The Miami Condo Investments blog aims to be the authoritative source for all news relating to Miami and Miami Beach real estate, with a specific focus on condominiums and lofts. We will provide investors with the best information relating to Miami and Miami Beach real estate investment opportunities. Preconstruction, foreclosure, pre-foreclosure, and short sale opportunities will be especially highlighted throughout this blog. We will also discuss various condominium developments in Miami and Miami Beach along with condos and lofts for sale that are good buying opportunities and/or are worth mentioning as well as comment on news articles that are relevant to the real estate industry and specifically to the condo markets in Miami and Miami Beach, Florida. We look forward to providing you with the best insight into the condominium markets in Miami and Miami Beach, Florida.
