Below you will find the latest prices for units at Ten Museum Park. These are defaulted units that were taken back by the developer. They have been discounted 15 percent off of their original prices set in January of 2004. Contact me if you’re interested in viewing any of these units.
1 Bedroom/1.5 Bath – 858 interior SF/143 exterior SF
1608 – $335,000
3008 – $350,000
1905 – $325,000
2 Bedrooms/2.5 Baths – 1,239 interior SF/192 exterior SF
4106 – $450,000
2 Bedrooms/2.5 Baths – 1,906-1,949 interior SF/192 exterior SF
1602 – $799,000
2504 – $825,000
3 Bedrooms + den/5 Baths -4,005 interior SF/533 exterior SF
Sunday Afternoon Bicycle Ride Through Brickell and Downtown Miami
Last week, I purchased a new road bike. My hope was to not only get a good cardio workout while cycling but also to get some great pictures of Miami and South Beach condos while doing so. My goal today was to get some shots of the condo developments in Brickell and Downtown that were either recently completed or will be completed within the next year. Unfortunately, it was a very cloudy day as you will see below.
Closings at Plaza on Brickell will likely begin in January. This development will add 1,000 new units to the Brickell condo market.
Closings at 1060 Brickell should occur around the same time. 1060 Brickell will add 582 condo units.
Closings at Axis will likely begin around the middle of 2008. Axis will add 718 units.
Closings for 500 Brickell are scheduled for the beginning of 2008. This development will add 633 units.
Infinity at Brickell will likely be completed towards the middle of 2008. Infinity will bring 459 condo units to the market.
I forgot to get a shot of Brickell on the River South. That development will add 322 units. I also didn’t get one today for Latitude on the River but I’ve displayed pictures of that building in the past. Closings at Latitude started about two months ago. It has 455 condo units.
Asia is located on Brickell Key. It is the only development under construction there. It will add 123 condo units when it is completed in the first half of 2008.
Closings at 50 Biscayne began about a week and a half ago. I walked in the lobby last week and it is gorgeous. I didn’t have my camcorder with me at the time, however. I will try to get a video and picture tour of the building within the next week. 50 Biscayne has 529 condo units.
Closings at Loft Downtown 2 are scheduled to begin this month. In fact, they may have already begun. It will add 496 units.
Everglades on the Bay (now known as Vizcayne) likely won’t be completed until the end of 2008 or beginning of 2009. It will add 866 condo units to the Miami real estate market.
I’ve been told that closings at Marina Blue are scheduled to begin November 1, 2007. I don’t see that happening so soon but maybe I’m wrong. My guess would be sometime in December or January. Marina Blue will add 516 units.
900 Biscayne Bay will likely be completed in the first half of 2008. It will add 516 units as well.
Closings for units at Ten Museum Park began about three months ago. Closings are still underway. It has 200 units. Marquis probably won’t be completed until the end of 2008 to beginning of 2009. It will bring 306 units to the Miami condo market.
In conclusion, there might be a tiny bit of an inventory problem in Miami (that was me being sarcastic). I also didn’t include Icon Brickell and Epic Miami which will be completed in 2009. Icon Brickell will add 1,816 units while Epic will add 966 units. The condo developments in the Arts District will also add a little over 2,000 new units to the market within the next six months.
Trouble Ahead for Ten Museum Park?
Those of you who have closely followed my blog know that I’m a big advocate of Ten Museum Park, for reasons that I have cited in the past. I’ve predicted that, of the condo developments that are scheduled to close within the next six months, Ten Museum Park would have the least amount of problems.
After reviewing the number of closings, as of late, at Ten Museum Park, I pray that my prediction pans out to be highly inaccurate. If, however, my prediction does prove to be true, then the Miami condo market is in for a world of pain. As I said, I pray that my prediction proves to be wrong.
Closings for units at Ten Museum Park began towards the middle of June 2007. As of last week, a total of 76 closings have been recorded since the middle of June. There are 200 total units at Ten Museum Park. Those 76 units represent 38 percent of the overall building. What has happened to the other 62 percent? A total of 6 closings occurred in the previous 4 weeks prior to last week. Closings are grinding to a halt.
Closings for units on the upper 15 floors only began within the past 3 weeks, so perhaps a significant percentage of units on those upper floors will ultimately close. That’s best-case scenario.
I know for a fact that many contract holders at Ten Museum Park have been dragging their feet to reach the closing table by asking for extension after extension. When push comes to shove, what percentage of the remaining units will close and what percentage will default? At this point, the bank must be calling the developer three times a day.
Let’s be optimistic for a minute and say that 30 percent of the contract holders at Ten Museum Park ultimately default. What does that mean for the rest of the Miami condo market? If a highly regarded development such as Ten Museum Park can have default rates that reach 30 percent, then what lies in store for the remaining developments that are scheduled to be completed within the next 6-12 months?
I expected high default rates to occur at Ten Museum Park in their 05 line, because of the lack of views, but a high amount of defaults have spread to the 05, 06 and 07 and 08 lines as well. After personally touring these floor plans, however, they all seemed to be smaller than the square footage that was represented at contract time, so I shouldn’t be surprised. Only the 01, 02, 03 and 04 lines seemed to deliver an interior space that was promised.
I’ve also predicted, in the past, that of the condo developments scheduled to close within the next 24 months, Opera Tower would have the most problems. Originally, closings at Opera Tower were scheduled for August. Then, they were pushed back to September. I don’t foresee closings to begin at Opera Tower until early November. I won’t be surprised if closings don’t begin until the beginning of next year. From what I’ve heard, the amenity deck at Opera Tower is at least one month away from being completed. I’ve spoken with several contract holders at Opera Tower who have no intention of closing on their contracts.
If the best-case scenario for Ten Museum Park is to have a 30 percent default rate, then what will that mean for developments such as Opera Tower? 50 percent defaults? 60 percent defaults? Opera Tower has 635 total units. That’s a bitch-ass high number of condos that will remain unsold at Opera Tower if those estimates prove to be true.
Let’s pretend to be ultra-conservative in our estimated default rates. Let’s say that the condo developments that are scheduled to close within the next 24 months have an average default rate of 10 percent. I’ve previously cited that 16,070 new condo units would be delivered within the next 19 months. Using our ultra-conservative default estimate of 10 percent, this would mean that 1,607 units will not close. How long will it take to fill this void? Your guess is as good as mine.
Miami is a market that will once again see double-digit growth within the next 10 years. How long will it be until we reach that point? The land that I walk on each day is paradise. There’s no doubt about that. Even Tony Montana said it himself, “This is paradise,” and we all know that all he has in this world are his word and his balls, and he don’t break them for nobody. But Miami was overbuilt. Right now Miami is in an adjustment period. Once the inventory in the condo market is absorbed then paradise lost will once again be regained. But how long will that take?
I’d love to see your comments. How long will it take to fill this large supply of Miami condos?
My Prediction for Ten Museum Park
I’m going to go out on a limb and say that the east-facing units at Ten Museum Park will be selling 10-15 percent above where they are now by year’s end. I know, I know…the Miami condo market is in a rut. But that’s just my point. The east-facing units at Ten Museum Park are not condo units. They are lofts with 20-foot ceilings. Of all the high-rise developments in Miami, both existing and under construction, only Ten Museum Park can rightfully call themselves an ultra-luxury loft building.
Of the 200 units at Ten Museum Park, 73 of them have 20-foot ceilings with floor-to-ceiling windows. You will see that in future months there will be a premium paid for these units versus other units, not only in this building, but other buildings throughout Miami as well. I’ve already seen a lot of demand for these units in the past two months as some have been discounted due to original buyers not wanting to close. I think by the end of October the discounted units at Ten Museum Park will be nonexistent. The discounted loft units will be long gone by the end of September.
The amount of demand for units at Ten Museum Park has surprised even me, a big advocate of the development. The loft units at Ten Museum Park are truly something unique for Miami. They offer loft living combined with true luxury and gorgeous unobstructed water views, all residing in a neighborhood that, in my opinion, will be the best in Miami within the next five years.
Parc Lofts is a loft building in its truest form, but it is an industrial loft with minimal water views from higher floors, and offers no luxury. I’m a huge fan of that development as well though because it offers something very unique to the Miami market. Star Lofts, which will begin closings shortly, offers lots of luxury but resides in a neighborhood that does not even come close to the neighborhood of Park West. The prices are much higher as well. I think we’ll see a large percentage of defaulted units there. Infinity at Brickell isn’t quite as luxurious, nor does it have the unobstructed water views that the east-facing lofts at Ten Museum Park can offer, but it is probably the closest loft development to Ten Museum Park that offers the kwan: views, luxury, neighborhood and best investment dollars too.
Much of the luxury at Ten Museum Park lies in what it has to offer above other Miami developments. Primarily, it has the Clinique La Prairie spa which is based in Switzerland. By many, it is considered the best spa in the entire world. People from all over the world have been flying to Switzerland to enjoy the lavish spa treatments for which Clinique La Prairie is well known. Some of those treatments promise to slow down the aging process. The Clinique La Prairie spa at Ten Museum Park will be the first U.S. spa with their name associated.
Secondly, Michael Capponi’s name is associated with Ten Museum Park. For those not local to Miami, the Michael Capponi name is synonymous with the abbreviation V.I.P. He can get you into any party, any restaurant and any event that is well attended. Residents at Ten Museum Park will be able to count on Michael Capponi to get them V.I.P. accommodations to any social gathering that is worth attending.
I think those two aspects alone rise Ten Museum Park to the forefront of all other Miami developments. However, Ten Museum Park is also a boutique building with only 200 total units. Most other developments in Miami have well over 400 total units. There are only 6 units per floor at Ten Museum Park. The east-facing units share one bank with two elevators with one another. The units residing on the west side of the building share a bank with two elevators which accommodates four units. This is another good reason to be on the east side of the building.
Marquis – The Fourth Luxury High-Rise Building in Miami’s Park West Neighborhood
I’ve been getting a lot of interest in Ten Museum Park from both local and out-of-state buyers. Most of them inquire about the developments in the immediate vicinity to Ten Museum Park, such as 900 Biscayne Bay and Marina Blue to the south, and Marquis to the north. One can get a good idea of how beautiful 900 Biscayne Bay and Marina Blue will be when completed by looking at the current progress in development. Marquis, however, probably won’t be finished until the middle of next year and, as can be seen in the picture above, much is left to one’s imagination. (The picture was taken July 7, 2007).
I wanted to share some photos that I took of the Marquis sales center back in 2005 to show people what the building is supposed to look like once it is completed. Marquis is an ultra-luxury building and, if I remember correctly, prices ranged from $700,000 to $15M. It will have 306 ultra-luxury residences on floors 15-67 as well as a 10,000 square foot spa/fitness center and boutique hotel aspect to it with 56 hotel rooms on floors 3-14. The architect behind Marquis Residences is world-renowned Arquitectonica, which also did Marina Blue and a myriad number of luxury condo buildings throughout Miami.
There is definitely a big price difference in units located on the north side of Ten Museum Park versus those residing on the south side. Most of this is due to the close proximity that Marquis lies to Ten Museum Park. I think the spread in prices will narrow once Marquis is completed and buyers see that having a building that will be one of Miami’s most luxurious addresses isn’t such a bad thing.
900 Biscayne Bay – Sneak Peak at a Luxury Miami Preconstruction Condo Building – Pictures & Video
Last week I was afforded the opportunity to walk through an almost finished townhouse unit at 900 Biscayne Bay. It was priced, from the developer, at around $945,000 (I don’t remember the exact figure but it is very close, if not exact). The pictures and the short video clip that I shot of the unit are found below.
First, let me provide a little background.
Last weekend an out-of-state couple contacted me to find them a luxury second-home condo. They wanted a great deal but didn’t want to skimp on quality or views. They wanted to buy into a luxury condo building that was either brand new or one that was relatively new or recently remodeled that offered luxury finishes, amenities and views.
In one short day, most of which was scheduled on a 1-2 hour notice, I was able to show them a unit at Jade Brickell, Emerald at Brickell, Imperial at Brickell and The Palace. I was also able to get them a guided tour of Ten Museum Park and Latitude on the River. We also visited the 900 Biscayne Bay sales office just before closing hours. They had a strong interest in a townhouse unit at 900 Biscayne Bay and wanted a guided tour of the actual unit. One was arranged for the following afternoon.
To say the least, they were offered a thorough look at the Miami condo real estate market on their first day looking at Miami condos. They got to see more luxury condo buildings than most people living in Miami have seen in their lives. They were due to leave back home early Wednesday morning. The aforementioned showings all occurred last Monday from 12:30pm to 6:30pm.
We picked everything back up early Tuesday morning with a visit to Carbonell in Brickell Key. They loved everything about the building and the unit that we saw, but the water views off the 2 bedroom were good but not fantastic.
I then took them to Marina Blue where they fell in love with the unobstructed water views and great deals that could be obtained there.
They still had an appetite, however, to take the tour of the townhouse unit that they were interested in at 900 Biscayne Bay. Our next stop was the 900 Biscayne Bay sales office so we could don our hard hats and goggles and trek to the unit.
Fortunately, I brought along my trusty digital camcorder along to take pictures and shoot as much video as I could in our short stay at the 900 Biscayne Bay townhouse that we visited. The following pictures and video clip are from a townhouse unit on the 7th and 8th floors at 900 Biscayne Bay.
Again, this is a townhouse unit at 900 Biscayne Bay. Not all units at 900 Biscayne Bay will offer such bi-level floor plans and high ceilings. In fact, most of them do not.
The townhouse that we saw was a 2 bedroom/2den/3 bath unit. I felt that the bedrooms were pretty small. They should have removed one of the dens and added that space to the master bedroom. The finishes, however, were just as impressive as they were in the sales center. 900 Biscayne Bay should be completed towards the beginning of 2008.
Ten Museum Park – Picture & Video Review of an 08 Line & the Pool Deck at Ten Museum Park
Wednesday afternoon I previewed an 08 line at Ten Museum Park for someone in Dallas, Texas looking to fly into Miami next week to acquire this property. I took a bunch of pictures and some video of the unit as well as the pool deck for him. I wanted to share this with everyone as there is much interest in Ten Museum Park.
Again, the pictures of the unit are of an 08 line. The 08 line at Ten Museum Park has 898 square feet of interior space and a 143 square foot balcony. The 05 line at Ten Museum Park has 886 square feet of interior space and a 143 square foot balcony. They are both 1 bedroom/1.5 bath units. The views from the 05 line look into the building just north of Ten Museum Park called Marquis, which will be completed in 2008.
Flip through the picture slideshow below to view 19 pictures of this 08 line unit.
From the 08 line at Ten Museum Park you will see 900 Biscayne Bay directly in front of you. As you will see, you will also have views of the American Airlines Arena, street views of Biscayne Boulevard and water views of Biscayne Bay. You can also see skyline views of South Beach in the distance. The kitchens have stainless steel appliances by Sub-Zero and Bosche as well as stainless steel countertops. There is a glass-enclosed shower with body jets and rain shower in the master bath as well as a bidet and toilet. The bathroom fixtures in the master bath are from Duravit and Dornbracht. Every floor plan at Ten Museum Park has these kitchen appliances and master bath fixtures.
As you will see, the plunge pools at Ten Museum Park are functioning but the landscaping around the outer-edge of the swimming pool deck has not yet been planted. The deck furniture and cabanas are scheduled to arrive this weekend. The rain shower area has not yet been fully completed as well. Overall, everything reminded me of something out of ancient Greece. I love it!
The green land that you see across the street from Ten Museum Park is the park formerly known as Bicentennial Park. It is now known as Museum Park and has the Miami Art Museum and the Miami Science Museum collaborating to make it into one of the best parks in the nation.
By the way, there is a big price difference in an 08 line and 05 line at Ten Museum Park. This 08 line is priced at $380,000. I can get someone an 05 line on a low floor for $315K. Residences start on the 10th floor at Ten Museum Park. The water views from an 08 line are much better, however. You can even see the pool deck from the 08 line off the balcony as you will see in the pictures and video.There are a total of 6 units per floor at Ten Museum Park. The one bedroom units are staggered along the building with the large 2 bedroom units that have 20-foot lofted ceilings. The large 2 bedrooms with 1,906 to 1,949 square feet are my favorite layouts at Ten Museum Park. I can get you one of those for $850,000. The original contract holder paid $905,000 in January of 2004. It is an 02 line with 1,949 square feet.
This was probably my fourth or fifth visit to Ten Museum Park since closings began. During one visit I saw at least 6-7 different floor plans. I think I’ve pretty much seen all of the floor plans that Ten Museum Park has to offer including the Penthouse units with the rooftop plunge pools. The views from the rooftop are simply amazing.
I can’t wait until the building is 100 percent complete. It will be an amazing building! I guess there is a lot of interest in this building because when I went up today there was a group of 9 others that wanted to see other units. (Damn! I was hoping to corner the market at Ten Museum Park…LOL). I guess the word is out.
I hope the pictures and video has satisfied everyone’s curiosity. I’ve been told that the gym, which is one of the biggest that I’ve seen in a condominium building, will be completed in about 2-3 months. The Clinique La Prairie spa should be done in about 6-8 months as far as I’ve heard. The restaurant space below Ten Museum Park is still vacant and awaiting an outstanding restaurant to fill the space. There are also condo offices available for lease at the base of Ten Museum Park. From what I’ve been told, lawyers and doctors, including plastic surgeons, have been jumping at the chance to have an office with an unobstructed view of Biscayne Bay and South Beach.
Within the next couple of days I will reveal photos and video footage of a townhouse unit at 900 Biscayne Bay, so stay tuned to the best source for Miami condo news.
Okay, okay….I’ll give you a sneak peak:
Ten Museum Park – Buyer Wants an 01 or 02 Line
I met with a buyer who flew into Miami a few days ago to take a look at Ten Museum Park. They fell in love with the 01 and 02 line and wanted me to find out if there’s an original buyer out there who is thinking about not closing and walking away from their deposit. They can close quickly and can submit a preapproval letter as well. The 01 line has 1,906 square feet of interior space and a 197 square foot terrace. The 02 line has 1,949 square feet of interior space and a 192 square foot terrace.
The best price available through the developer of Ten Museum Park is an 02 priced at $850,000. They are looking to see if they can get a better price.
Contact me if you or someone you know has an 01 or 02 line under contract at Ten Museum Park and they are thinking about defaulting on their deposit. These buyers will make a deal so that the contract holder can walk away with some money.
Their offer expires this Sunday, August 15, at 5pm. Please get in touch with me ASAP if the aforementioned situation pertains to you.
Advice to Miami Condo Buyers
This is a follow-up post to one I wrote a few weeks ago entitled “Advice to Miami Condo Sellers“. That post has become one of my most widely read posts.
I’ve always been more of a buyer’s agent than a seller’s agent. It’s been that way ever since I started in this business. I’ve never been much of a salesman though. In fact, I initially didn’t even want to become a real estate agent because I always analogized the phrase “real estate agent” to “sales person”. The latter always made me cringe. Thoughts of “selling somebody” or “making a sale happen” didn’t favor well with me.
I finally realized, however, that people will always have a need to buy housing and finding buyers the best deals is a niche within itself. I figured that with my financial background I could provide a unique perspective and a more in-depth analysis of the market than most agents. This blog is a natural extension of that mindset years ago.
Nowadays, it seems like everyone is looking for a deal and the right opportunity to buy in Miami. The million dollar question that I get from the people who contact me each day is “When will be the best time to buy a condo in Miami?”.
The answer to that question depends on your objectives and knowledge of the Miami condo market. If you’re an investor “looking to buy a condo in a good neighborhood of Miami at a significant discount” then the answer to that question is as vague as your objective – “Nobody knows!”. That’s like saying that you want to buy the best stock at the bottom of a bear market. Good luck!
Some of the people who contact me have only been to Miami once or twice in their life. Some haven’t ever visited Miami, but have read about Miami and have seen the gorgeous palm trees and majestic waters in movies. For those of you, the opportunity to buy a Miami condo at the “best” time won’t ever come. You need to have knowledge of what you want before you can ascertain the best time to buy it. A knowledgeable Realtor can’t even point you in the right direction without first knowing which direction that might be.
Having an objective like wanting to buy a two bedroom condo at Ten Museum Park with a direct bay view on a high floor at a 20 percent discount of 2004 prices is much better. An opportunity like that may or may not present itself but at least you know what you want and a local Realtor will be much better equipped to help you find it.
Keep in mind that the “market bottom” for the Miami condo market might not necessarily be the best time to buy for people with such a pinpoint objective as the one above. These people might miss out on better opportunities that will have passed them by. For example, take the 2 bedroom condo going up for auction at Villa Regina that I mentioned in yesterday’s post. That condo may very well sell for the best price per square foot of any condo at Villa Regina from here on out. Someone looking to buy a condo at Villa Regina, but is waiting for the condo market to bottom in Miami, might miss out on a fantastic opportunity. It may or may not end up being the best deal at Villa Regina but keep in mind that only one person will buy the bottom. Wouldn’t you be happy though knowing that you bought at a 20 percent or 30 percent discount or whatever it may be?
My advice for those buyers who will be end-users is the same. Know what you want and the price point that will make you happy. Opportunities to buy condos in Miami at a discount with built-in equity are already present. Foreclosures, auctions and short sales all offer these opportunities. Being happy with the condo in which you will live should be the primary concern for end-users, not price. Having a cushion to weather the storm that lies ahead is an added bonus.
There is no doubt that condo prices will correct themselves from the highs that we experienced in 2005 and beginning of 2006. In my opinion, they already have. I feel that we’re already back at 2004 prices. Every week I get a number of calls and emails from people who bought preconstruction condos as resales in 2005 and beginning of 2006. They want to know if there is any chance to break-even if they close on their preconstruction condo contracts and sell at current market prices. The answer is overwhelmingly “NO”. The current market price is usually at or slightly below the amount of their deposit money, which the majority of the time is 20 percent. This tells me that we are already at least 20 percent off the highs.
The inventory problems of the Miami condo market is old news. Demand dried up over a year ago as a result of this news. The real estate market, however, is not as liquid and as efficient as the financial markets. Buyers have already processed the news about the Miami condo market. Sellers have begun to process the news but can’t simply hit the best bid to get themselves out. Those selling existing condos can, however, lower their prices.
The fate of the preconstruction condo market is different though. The news came out over a year ago but we’re all waiting for the condos to close to see where they will get priced. Nobody knows! It’s like trading has been halted, due to news, and we’re all standing around waiting for the market to reopen.
As a side-note to investors and second home buyers unfamiliar with Brickell, if you’re looking to buy a newly constructed condo in a bayfront building within the next 7 months then you won’t find any. Of the five developments scheduled for completion within the next 7 months in Brickell, none of them are bayfront buildings. Only two, Latitude on the River (which has begun closings) and Brickell on the River South, are waterfront buildings. They both, as their name implies, reside on the Miami River. Of the four developments scheduled for completion in 2009, only two, Icon Brickell and Epic, are bayfront developments. After those are completed only one bayfront parcel will be left in Brickell. Villa Magna was planned for development on that parcel but the project was recently canceled and the fate of that land is still up in the air.
As for the four buildings being developed in the Downtown Miami neighborhood known as Park West, none are bayfront but they might as well be. Ten Museum Park, Marina Blue, 900 Biscayne and Marquis each reside directly behind Biscayne Boulevard and what was formerly known as Bicentennial Park, both of which won’t obstruct views of the bay as long as they are owned by the city of Miami.
1/1.5 @ Ten Museum Park for $310,000 – Reduced Again!
Someone contacted me last week to see if I could help them find a buyer for their 1 bedroom/1.5 bath condo at Ten Museum Park. He is perfectly able to close but would rather sell it to an end-user than carry it for a while. If he closes on the unit though then he will end up holding onto it. His closing date is approximately 30 days from now but he thinks that he could have it extended if an interested buyer surfaces.
His condo has 886 square feet of interior space and a 143 square foot terrace. It is an “05” line. The floor plan is below.
As of now, the best priced “05” line available on the MLS through the developer is priced at $400,000. Here is your opportunity to buy at Ten Museum Park for much less. Make an offer today!
