Bulk Sale Opportunities Emerge in the Miami Condo Market
For the past couple of years, vultures have been circling the skies of Miami waiting for the right moment to swoop in for the kill. Their day of reckoning seems to have finally arrived. I am now familiar with over 30 condo developments in Miami and Miami Beach with units available to be purchased in bulk. The list consists of partial and entire condo developments, including a few with Section 8 potential. Ballpark prices for these bulk sale opportunities range from $3M-$60M.
Throughout much of 2008, there seemed to be a stalemate between developers and vulture funds about price. However, market conditions have worsened considerably within the past six months, due in large part to ever-tightening lending practices. Even for creditworthy individuals, it has become extremely difficult to obtain financing for condominiums in Miami. As a result of the new Fannie Mae guidelines, financing has become especially restrictive for condos in recently completed buildings. Lately, it has been individual buyers strapped with cash, for the most part, who have been the ones pecking away at the remaining inventory in these new condo developments. Facing the realities of the market, developers – and their lenders – have begun to turn to vulture funds as a quick, easy way to part with unclosed condos.
Recently, two major arms-length bulk sales have closed in Miami-Dade County: the 60-unit bulk sale in the Downtown Miami high-rise called Marina Blue and the 101-unit bulk sale at Harbour House, a beachfront condo-conversion located in Bal Harbour. Both deals closed in December 2008. The 60 units at Marina Blue sold for $200 per square foot while the 101 condos at Harbour House sold for approximately $277 per square foot.
There are some who negatively portray vulture funds as entities who feast upon the misery of others. Personally, I feel that vulture funds are a necessity to a real estate market such as Miami and do more good than harm. Bulks sales provide instantaneous feedback as to where the intermediate level of pricing resides for condos in the given development, as well as those in the surrounding area. Bulk sales also provide stability to a condo building which would otherwise have many uncertainties concerning its financial condition. One can assume that the vulture fund will have the capital resources to pay monthly homeowners association fees on time. It also has a vested interest to ensure that the condo development is well managed. The greatest benefit, however, is that thousands of unoccupied condos in Miami will be filled with residents much faster.
Most of the vulture funds that I’ve come into contact with over the past year have plans to buy condos in bulk, lease them over a period of 5-10 years and resell them for a profit on the back-end once market conditions have improved.
Please feel free to contact me if you have an interest in the bulk sale opportunities that are now available in Miami and Miami Beach. Investment packets complete with estimated operating budgets, a rental and sale market analysis, neighborhood demographics and projected cash flow statements are available to serious buyers for most of the bulk sale opportunities.
Can the Current Financial Crisis Be a Blessing in Disguise for Condo Contract Holders Scheduled to Close?
Last Friday, I had the pleasure of having lunch with Jared Beck and Elizabeth Lee Beck of the business litigation law firm, Beck & Lee. Jared Beck, who pens The Magic City Harvard Lawyer blog, raised an interesting question: Can contract holders of condos in Miami scheduled to close in the coming months use the current financial crisis and inability to acquire financing as a valid argument for nonperformance of their contractual obligation?
I know, I know…preconstruction condo contracts clearly state that performance is not contingent upon financing. However, a recent federal ruling in Hoosier Energy Rural Electric Cooperative, Inc. v. John Hancock Life Insurance Co., contains language that may assist condo contract holders who are scheduled to close in the near future.
Here’s some background on the federal case, as provided by Jared Beck’s recent blog post entitled, “Federal Court Endorses Financial Crisis As Basis For Relief From Pre-Existing Contractual Duties; Could Real Estate Contracts Be Affected?”:
The background is somewhat complex but essentially involves the owner of an electrical generating plant in Indiana, Hoosier Energy, which in 2002 entered into a complex lease-back arrangement over some of its assets with an insurance company, John Hancock, aimed at creating a tax shelter for John Hancock. As part of the deal, Hoosier Energy was required to obtain what amounted to a line of credit from Ambac, a financial institution called a “swap provider.”
Until 2008, Hoosier Energy made all of its scheduled payments under the agreement. Then, global financial crisis ensued, and the credit rating of Hoosier Energy’s swap provider sunk like a stone. Hoosier Energy was unable to find another swap provider with a suitable credit rating who could be substituted in a timely manner. John Hancock declared Hoosier Energy to be in default and demanded a large termination payment, shortly after which Hoosier Energy filed suit, requesting a protective injunction.
Mr. Beck went on to say in his blog post that “Hoosier Energy argued that the extraordinary freeze in the global credit markets at least partially excused it from performing under the contract as an instance of ‘commercial impracticability,’ mitigating the default declared by John Hancock”. The court agreed with Hoosier Energy’s argument.
Mr. Beck concluded his post with the following:
How could this newly articulated doctrine be more broadly applied? One possibility rests with the large number of individuals who signed preconstruction real estate contracts several years ago, with the intention of obtaining mortgage financing once the project was finished. Now that many of those projects have been or will soon be competed, those buyers are unable to close because, owing to the global credit crunch, banks will no longer extend mortgage financing for certain new real estate construction at 2004 or 2005 prices.
While many of these purchase contracts were drafted with clauses stating that they were not contingent upon the buyer qualifying for a mortgage, it could be argued, on the basis of the reasoning set forth in Hoosier Energy, that the deals were signed under both parties’ reasonable assumption that financing would actually be available from somewhere once construction was completed. To quote the Southern District of Indiana in Hoosier Energy, “The crisis was not anticipated by the most senior economists in the country.” If that is true, why should the defense of commercial impracticability, based on the lack of accessible credit, be any less available to the individual real estate buyer seeking to mitigate the effect of a pre-existing contract then it would be to an electrical generating plant operator dealing at arms length with a multibillion dollar insurer? (To some degree, the question overlaps the analysis of whether “bailout” principles should apply equally to financial institutions and individual homeowners, both of whom are victims of their own inability to foresee the mortgage crisis).
The newly revised Fannie Mae guidelines, which went into effect on January 15, state that the government-controlled entity will no longer fund loans for new Florida condos if at least 70 percent of the total units in the development have not be conveyed or under a bona fide contract for purchase to either principal residence or second home purchasers. Contract holders who require financing and are scheduled to close in coming months are basically out of luck. It’ll be interesting to see how the courts handle this argument in 2009.
Brickell on the River South Closeout Sale
I received an email earlier this week about a developer closeout sale at Brickell on the River South. Prices of units include flooring and paint. The sale will open to the public January 14, 2009.
The ad states that they have “a limited amount of one bedrooms from $180,000 and two bedrooms from $213,000”.
Bank Approved Short-Sale at Parc Lofts – $220,000
I have a short-sale listing at Parc Lofts that just received lender approval this evening. The list price has just been reduced to $220,000 from the previous asking price of $250,000. Unfortunately, the person who submitted an offer canceled recently because they felt that the short-sale process was taking too long.
The unit has 1,267 square feet of living space, 15-foot ceilings, acid stained concrete floors, stainless steel appliances, De La Casa cabinets, washer/dryer and balcony. Parc Lofts is one of the few industrial-style lofts in South Florida. It has become home to many of Miami’s artists, videographers, photographers and others desiring a unique space. Amenities at Parc Lofts include: swimming pool, hot tub, concierge and fitness center.
Contact me if you have any questions or would like to view this loft in person.
Miami & Miami Beach Condo Trends – October 2008
Below, you will find the Miami-Dade County condo inventory and months of supply figures for October 2008. The first box to the left reveals the total number of condos that are currently available for sale on the MLS throughout Miami-Dade County. The second box discloses the total number of closed sales that occurred in the month of September 2008. The third and fourth boxes show the months and years of condo supply in Miami-Dade County. As you can see, the figures are also subdivided into various price ranges to reveal which part of the condo market has been most affected. The % change box will show you how the inventory levels have changed since my last update in May 2008.
The overall supply of condos listed in the MLS in Miami-Dade County has dropped from 25,461 to 24,788 since May 2008. On the flip side, the number of closed sales in the previous month has gone up from 474 to 527 creating a 12.51 percent drop in the years of inventory in Miami-Dade County since the last update. It’s once again surprising that inventory levels have dropped despite the thousands of new condos that have been completed and delivered in 2008.
The following statistics encompass only those condos located throughout Miami (not other areas of Dade County such as Miami Beach, Aventura, Sunny Isles Beach, etc.):
The supply of condos in the MLS in Miami has dropped from 10,281 to 9,903 since May 2008. The number of closed sales in the previous month has gone up from 161 to 192 creating a 19.21 percent drop in years of inventory in Miami since the last update. As you can see, a large portion of these closed sales occurred in the $0-$249,999 price range. The inventory levels of the $500,000+ categories, however, have increased.
The following statistics encompass only those condos located throughout Miami Beach:
The supply of condos in the MLS in Miami Beach has dropped from 4,109 to 3,949 since May 2008. However, the number of closed sales in the previous month has also dropped from 113 to 98 creating a 10.82 percent increase in years of inventory for condos in Miami Beach since the last update. In fact, with the exception of the $500,000-$999,999 price range, the years of inventory has risen for each category.
The Sub-$100K Brickell Condo Hits the Market
Prices have continued to fall hard at Vue at Brickell for quite some time. It’s incredible to think that in May 2007 when I wrote the post entitled, “Vue at Brickell – Overpriced or Insanely Overpriced“, the average price per square foot of condos listed in the building was over $550!
Yesterday evening, a 1 bedroom foreclosure at Vue at Brickell hit the market for $125 per square foot. With a list price of $99,900, it was the first one bedroom condo for sale in Brickell, built after 2000, to fall below the $100K mark.
[poll id=”2″]
Miami World Center
I’ve been on vacation for the past week but I have kept up with the comments that have been left about the Arts District and Park West. While both sides of the argument have valid points, I tend to side with AJ more than the others. I don’t consider the Arts District or Park West dangerous. It may have some shady characters at night but which neighborhood in a large city doesn’t? When I lived in Chicago, I lived in a neighborhood called the Gold Coast for a few years. It was, and still is, one of the best neighborhoods in Chicago. A mile away, however, was the housing project called Cabrini Green which had the reputation for being one of the worst neighborhoods in the NATION!
Cabrini Green has since been relocated to another area. My point is that large cities take time to transition. Park West and the Arts District of Miami are in their early stages of transitioning. There are several proposed city improvements for these two neighborhoods that will transform them. One of these proposed improvements is the Miami World Center. Take a look at their website to view various renderings of what the area behind 900 Biscayne Bay, Ten Museum Park and Marina Blue will look like once this plan is implemented. Again, it will take some time, however. The Miami World Center plan will probably not become a realization for another 5-7 years but when it does it will provide the infrastructure that is much needed in that area. My bet is that Edgewater and Park West will be among the best neighborhoods to live in about 10 years.
Update: The Mall at Miami Worldcenter is scheduled to break ground by the end of 2014. Reservations for condos at Paramount Miami Worldcenter will start on November 18, 2014.
900 Biscayne Bay Penthouse Condo – $1.9M
For the second time, I had the opportunity to view one of the penthouse condos at 900 Biscayne Bay. The building has five floors of penthouses, located from floors 59 to 63. The view in the picture above was taken from a penthouse condo located on the 60th floor at 900 Biscayne Bay.
The condo I saw was an “A” line penthouse that has 3 bedrooms, a den and 4.5 bathrooms with 3,493 square feet of interior space and an amazing 1,225 square feet of balcony space!!! The condo is located on the southern corner of 900 Biscayne Bay and offers 180-degree views to the west, south, and east.
The condo has a private elevator that opens to a private foyer. As you walk through the double doors you are greeted to a very spacious living room with views of Biscayne Bay, the Atlantic Ocean, the Miami Beach and Downtown Miami skylines and much more.
Another look at the spacious living room of this penthouse condo at 900 Biscayne Bay.
The penthouse kitchens at 900 Biscayne Bay have custom Italian cabinetry, stone countertops and high-end stainless steel appliances by Sub-Zero, Miele, and Bosch. The penthouse condos also include a cappuccino maker, mini-fridge, and wine cooler.
The breakfast area off the kitchen of this penthouse condo at 900 Biscayne Bay offers a gorgeous view to the west.
Here’s a look at just how deep some of the balconies are in the penthouse condos. This one is located off the kitchen and living room.
The master bathroom in the penthouse condos at 900 Biscayne Bay all come equipped with a Jacuzzi tub.
Here’s a look at the shower located in the master bath of the penthouse condos.
The view to the south from one of the balconies off the living room provides a spectacular view of Downtown Miami.
Condos For Sale at 900 Biscayne Bay
Condos For Rent at 900 Biscayne Bay
Miami Condo Index – Brickell – August 2008
It has been four months since the last installment of the Miami Condo Index for Brickell. The last update for Brickell condos was provided in April 2008. The data below was collected on August 18, 2008 from the MLS. While crunching the numbers earlier today, it quickly became apparent that prices have continued to fall within the past four months and, in some cases, prices have fallen hard.
The Brickell Condo Index now stands at an average price per square foot of $441.84. This represents a 7.71 percent drop in the average asking prices of the 18 condo developments that comprise the Brickell Condo Index over the past four months, or an annualized loss of 23.13 percent. You’ll see in the graph towards the bottom of the post that about four condo developments have had significant reductions in their average asking prices within the past four months.
Average price per square foot of Brickell condos currently listed on the MLS:
The average price of Brickell condos sold over the past six months has dropped 23.49 percent to $313.97 per square foot from April’s average of $410.38. However, much of this drop is attributed to the fact that Four Seasons Residences, which sells at the highest price per square foot of the 18 condo developments comprising the Brickell Condo Index, has not had one closed sale in the MLS within the past six months and therefore was not included in this month’s average. The average would have dropped around 14.37 percent had Four Seasons Residences been included using its April average. That would still have represented an annualized drop in the average sales prices of about 43 percent!!!
Average price per square foot of Brickell condos sold in the MLS within the past six months:
- Atlantis – 2025 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $241.89
- Brickell on the River – 31 SE 5 St | 33131 | N/A
- Bristol Tower – 2127 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $379.26
- Emerald at Brickell – 218 SE 14 St | 33131 | $240.51
- Four Seasons Residences – 1425 Brickell Ave | 33131 | N/A
- Imperial at Brickell – 1627 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $316.83
- Jade – 1331 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $447.72
- Latitude on the River – 185 SW 7 St | 33130 | $323.74
- Neo Vertika – 690 SW 1 Ct | 33130 | $264.58
- One Miami – 325 & 335 S Biscayne Blvd | 33131 | $316.15
- Santa Maria – 1643 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $625.05
- Skyline on Brickell – 2101 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $296.45
- Solaris at Brickell – 186 SE 12 Ter | 33131 | N/A
- The Club at Brickell Bay – 1200 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $224.18
- The Mark on Brickell – 1155 Brickell Bay Dr | 33131 | $311.29
- The Palace – 1541 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $240.85
- Villa Regina – 1581 Brickell Ave | 33129 | $292.44
- Vue at Brickell – 1250 S Miami Ave | 33131 | $188.62
Below you will find some additional statistics:
As in the past, the first column to the right of each condo development’s name is the difference in the average sales price and list price for this month, expressed as a percentage. An “N/A” is found next to Brickell on the River, Four Seasons Residences and Solaris at Brickell since this percentage could not be computed as each building failed to have a closed sale within the past six months through the MLS, and thus did not have an average price per square foot for condos sold. A high percentage indicates that there is a large discrepancy between the average asking price for condos currently on the market and what has actually sold within the past six months.
The second column is the number of active listings in each condo development currently in the MLS. The third column shows the percentage that these listings represent over the total number of condo units in each development. The cells highlighted in green reveal those condo developments that have active listings that represent less than 10 percent of the the overall units in the building. To me, this is one indication of a sound condo development. Bristol Tower, Four Seasons Residences, Imperial at Brickell, Santa Maria, The Palace and Villa Regina are the condo buildings highlighted in green. All, with the exception of Four Seasons Residences, were built prior to 2000 and none were targets for wild speculation during the last real estate boom. The ones highlighted in red reveal those condo developments that have active listings that represent over 20 percent of the overall units in the building. There’s definitely underlying risk in buying in these condo developments and I’d only advise buying in one of these if the price justifies the risk. Jade, Solaris at Brickell and Vue at Brickell are the condo developments highlighted in red. Each was built in 2004 or after and victimized by speculation and rampant mortgage fraud. Prices in each have fallen like a ton of bricks within the past year. The condo developments with active listings less than 10 percent are considered safe, in my opinion, and anything in the 10-15 percent range is considered normal, even in a healthy market.
The fourth column shows the number of pending sales while the fifth column displays the number of closed sales within the past six months. There are a total of 79 total pending sales in the 18 condo buildings represented in the Brickell Condo Index. In April, there were a total of 58 pending sales at the time. The Club at Brickell Bay, Vue at Brickell and Jade each have pending sales in the double digits. The same goes for closed sales within the past six months in each of these condo developments. In April, there were a total of 64 closed sales within the past six months. This figure has almost doubled since April with a total of 123 closed sales within the past six months. With 25 closed sales within the past six months and 25 pending sales in the pipeline at The Club at Brickell, I question myself whether some sort of stability is finally being reached. Again, the 25 closed sales had an average price of around $224 per square foot. If the answer to my questions is no, then where will the dust finally settle? Of the three condo developments, The Club at Brickell Bay was the only one which has had a reduction in its active listings since April. That, to me, is progress. From November 2007 until April 2008, average sales prices at The Club at Brickell Bay fell about 46 percent. Now since April, we have seen another large drop of about 39 percent in its average sales price. By year’s end, can prices at The Club at Brickell Bay hit the $150 per square foot mark that many of the commentors on this blog have mentioned? A 30 percent drop in sales prices will bring us very, very close to that oft-mentioned number. A better question is, will the pundits of this blog revise their guidance downward if that figure does become an eventuality in a few condo developments in Brickell?
The sixth column shows the difference in the average list prices from this month’s and April’s, expressed as a percentage. Those highlighted in red reveal those condo developments which had a drop in their average list price while those highlighted in green show those that had an increase. Emerald at Brickell saw asking prices drop a little over 23 percent, Vue at Brickell slightly under 23 percent, Solaris at Brickell around 20 percent, The Club at Brickell Bay about 17.5 percent, Neo Vertika 11.4 percent and Jade 11.25 percent. Only Santa Maria and The Palace experienced average list prices actually rise.
The seventh column reveals the difference in average sales prices from this month’s and April’s, expressed as a percentage. Emerald at Brickell saw the largest drop with a 41.21 percent decline, although only one closed sale was found in the MLS within the past six months to calculate its new average. It has a difference of around 46 percent in its average sales and asking prices. This is the largest pricing discrepancy amongst the 18 condo developments represented in the Brickell Condo Index. This just shows me that asking prices at Emerald at Brickell still have a ways to come down before reaching its market clearing value. The Club at Brickell Bay had its average sales price drop around 39 percent, Skyline on Brickell around 25.5 percent, The Palace about 25 percent and Villa Regina around 25 percent. Only Latitude on the River and Santa Maria experienced an uptick in average sales prices since the last Brickell Condo Index update.
This the first month where we saw average sales prices for a Brickell condo building fall below $200 per square foot. Vue at Brickell is now sitting on an average sales price of around $189 per square foot, calculated from the 17 closed sales in the MLS that it has had within the past six months. A look at the listings currently available at Vue at Brickell indicates that prices will continue to fall, as over 30 listings have an asking price below the $189 per square foot average. In fact, four listings are currently asking less than $150 per square foot. It goes without saying that Vue at Brickell will likely hit the $150 average sales mark before any of the other condo developments in the Brickell Condo Index.
Another insight I made while pondering the figures for this month’s Brickell Condo Index is that Santa Maria is alive and kicking. It looks healthy despite the slow down in the real estate market. Its average listing and sales prices have both gone up within the past four months. It has also had 8 closed sales within the past six months. That may not seem like a lot but, with only 174 total condos, Santa Maria is not a huge mega-building with 500-plus units like we often see nowadays. It also has the most realistic asking prices. The discrepancy in asking and sales prices is 15.81 percent, the lowest amongst the 18 condo developments. Couple all that with the fact that the currently available listings at Santa Maria only represent around 8 percent of its possible inventory and I’m saying that it’s good to see that there’s still one stand-up condo development amongst the 18.
