Miami & Miami Beach Condo Trends – February 2008

Below, you will find the Miami-Dade County condo inventory and months of supply figures for February 2008. The first box to the left reveals the total number of condos that are currently available for sale on the MLS throughout Miami-Dade County. The second box discloses the total number of closed sales that occurred in the month of January 2008. The third and fourth boxes show the months and years of condo supply in Miami-Dade County. As you can see, the figures are also subdivided into various price ranges to reveal which part of the condo market has been affected the most.

Since the January 2008 update, the overall condo supply in Miami-Dade County has increased about 10.3 percent. Most the increase, however, was due to a 25.1 percent increase in the $0-$249,999 price range, where about 41 percent of the overall condo inventory resides. The $250,000-$499,999 and $500,000-$999,999 price ranges had slight increases of 4.5 percent and 2.8 percent, respectively. The $1,000,000-$2,499,999 price range had a big drop of 25.6 percent and the $2,500,000-$4,999,999 price range had an even bigger drop of 39.8 percent in its condo supply.

As many would expect, the lower part of the market is experiencing the most problems, mainly due to it now being much more difficult to obtain financing for those looking to buy in this segment of the market. Those in the market to buy a condo for over $1M, oftentimes, can do so without any financing whatsoever.

The following statistics encompass only those condos located throughout Miami (not other areas of Dade County such as Miami Beach, Aventura, Sunny Isles Beach, etc.):

Miami has continued its upward climb in condo supply this month with a 24.3 percent increase since last month. Again, we see that the lower and upper parts of the market have performed quite dissimilarly. The condo supply in the $0-$249,999 price range has increased 20.6 percent while the $250,000-$499,999 price range has gone up a shocking 62 percent. On the flip-side, the condo supply in the $500,000-$999,999 price range has gone down 26.7 percent and the $1,000,000-$2,499,999 has dropped almost 50 percent.

The following statistics encompass only those condos located throughout Miami Beach:

Overall, Miami Beach experienced a 19 percent drop in its condo supply levels since last month. I was a bit surprised but I probably shouldn’t be. Miami Beach did not come close to experiencing the level of development that we recently saw in Miami. Foreign and out-of-state buyers are also much more likely to buy a condo in Miami Beach than they are somewhere in Miami. I think we will continue to see a widening gap between the Miami and Miami Beach condo supply figures in the months ahead.

Lucas Lechuga

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